A combine harvests wheat in a field near the village of Zghurivka, amid Russia’s attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv region on Aug. 9, 2022.

War pushes grain supplies into danger territory

ANALYSIS | Patchwork fixes to Ukraine grain shortfall leave world vulnerable a year into war

A patchwork of fixes and increased crop plantings around the world to counter the impact of war in Ukraine on global grain supplies are not enough to ward off further risks of disruption. Extensive damage to Ukraine’s farm sector and uncertainty that the United Nations’ grain export corridor deal will be renewed this month suggest


(Dave Bedard photo)

AAFC supply/demand estimates mostly unchanged

Wheat exports up, but domestic usage cut

MarketsFarm –– Supply/demand estimates for Canadian crops were largely left unchanged in Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada’s (AAFC) latest projections, with only the wheat numbers seeing small adjustments in the report released Tuesday. Projected Canadian wheat exports for the 2022-23 marketing year were raised to 24.3 million tonnes, up by 200,000 from the February estimate. Domestic

Yellow peas. (Victoria Popova/iStock/Getty Images)

Pulse weekly outlook: AAFC report makes minor changes

Revisions mainly in dry peas, chickpeas

MarketsFarm — Following the latest supply and demand estimates from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC), MarketsFarm Pro analyst Mike Jubinville said their numbers “all seem reasonable enough.” There were only a handful of small tweaks to pulses in the AAFC report released Friday. For the most part, the revisions came with dry beans and chickpeas.

ICE March 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Sideways canola market watching macros

USDA report may offer nearby direction

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts remain stuck in a sideways trading range to start the New Year, with bearish outside forces countered by relatively supportive fundamentals. From a chart standpoint, March canola is stuck in a sideways range between $800 and $900, with little to suggest a break one way or the other for


(Dave Bedard photo)

AAFC raises canola stocks projection, despite smaller crop

Department also trims wheat ending stocks

MarketsFarm — Canadian canola ending stocks for 2022-23 were revised higher by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada in its latest supply/demand estimates, released Friday. The larger carryout projection came despite a downward revision to production, as both exports and domestic usage were also down from the November report. The government agency now sees canola carryout of


(Dave Bedard photo)

AAFC report sees another series of tweaks

MarketsFarm — As expected, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) avoided making any major revisions to its November supply and demand estimates, waiting until Statistics Canada issues its next production report on Dec. 2. AAFC released its latest monthly report late Friday afternoon. While AAFC tweaked its November supply and demand estimates from October, most of


(OceanFishing/iStock/Getty Images)

CBOT weekly outlook: Rising U.S. corn, soy yields ‘a little surprising’

'Somehow the USDA found higher yields'

MarketsFarm — Updated estimates in the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s monthly supply/demand report, released Wednesday, saw larger than expected increases to soybean and corn yield estimates in the country. However, that data did little to move the markets, with the commodities likely stuck in a sideways range for the time being, according to a trader.

CBOT January 2023 soybeans (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Soybeans, corn sag on worries about China demand

Upcoming USDA data in focus

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. soybean futures dropped on Monday, retreating from a six-week high, pressured by fears about export demand after top buyer China denied it was considering easing its stringent zero-COVID policy. Traders were also adjusting positions ahead of monthly supply-and-demand reports due at mid-week from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Wheat