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Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Taking a historical look at holiday weather

The Christmas period has been relatively dry and storm-free, with some exceptions

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Every few years I like to revisit the topic of the perfect Christmas holiday weather. In some years we worry whether we will see a white Christmas. This year, not so much. As I look back over the years of writing weather articles around the holiday season, it seems when I approach this particular topic,
CBOT March 2023 soybeans with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets, Weather

U.S. grains: Soybeans ease on South American rainfall

Forecasts of freezing weather in U.S. Midwest support wheat; corn near even

By ,
Chicago | Reuters — Chicago soybean futures dropped on Thursday, pressured by South American forecasts for more rain which could relieve parched soy crops in Argentina. Corn and wheat weakened, holding on to some of the previous day’s gains as extreme winter weather threatens winter wheat crops in the U.S. Plains and Midwest. The Chicago
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Understanding wind chill and the polar vortex

There’s a lot of science behind both but you wouldn’t know it from the media

By
We are starting to see some cold weather. A short-lived cold snap from Dec. 5 to 7 saw overnight lows in the -30s in most areas, with some regions (including my own backyard) seeing lows in the -36 to -38 C range. This cold weather got me thinking about different cold weather topics and I found we have
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: Major storm a possibility but not certainty

Forecast issued December 9, covering the period from December 14 to December 21, 2022

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We are starting to see a trend in medium-range weather forecasts this winter. The first half of the forecasts are turning out well but the second halves are struggling. Last issue’s forecast followed this pattern, with the call for a cold start and then a quick return to milder temperatures. In the second half of
CBOT March 2023 corn with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

U.S. grains: Corn, wheat futures ease

Chicago soybean futures firm

By ,
Chicago | Reuters — U.S. corn and wheat futures fell on Wednesday after hitting 11-day highs a day earlier as traders waited for more bullish news before pushing grain prices above those recent peaks. Soybeans were firm, shedding overnight weakness, with investors hoping that export demand for U.S. supplies of the oilseed will remain strong
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Winter forecasts can be a real mixed bag

With the first full month of winter past, it’s been all over the map

By
Holy cow, it’s hard to believe we are into the last month of 2022. From a climatological point of view, we have just finished the first full month of winter across the Prairies. For those who are more astronomical, we are now entering the first full month of winter. No matter which way you view
Snowmobiling is a fun recreational activity, but it can be dangerous too.
News

Province reminds snowmobile riders of winter rules

Multiple fatalities occur every winter in the province

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The provincial government is reminding snowmobile enthusiasts to follow the rules this winter. Manitoba Natural Resources and Northern Development says conservation officers will be conducting snowmobile patrols throughout the winter to help ensure public safety. Snowmobile accidents and fatalities have been on the rise in Manitoba in recent years. In 2021, there were 15 serious
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: No extreme cold or big storms expected

Forecast issued December 2, covering the period from December 7 to December 14, 2022

By
The first half of last issue’s forecast played out pretty darned close to what the weather models predicted. We saw a fairly strong area of low-pressure track through central Manitoba early in the forecast period, and this low was followed by a quick shot of colder air. The second low did develop and brought a
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Why Manitoba doesn’t see huge lake-effect snows

Unlike Lake Winnipeg, the Great Lakes are deep enough to store significant heat

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If you’re a weather nut like me, you likely heard about the extreme lake-effect snowfalls that recently hit parts of Ontario and New York state. Due to the nature of the Great Lakes, they can often see truly significant lake-effect snowfalls. In Manitoba, we too can see lake-effect snow, but not to the same extent.
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: Colder to start, with chance of snow

Forecast issued November 25, covering the period from November 30 to December 7, 2022

By
As we have seen with the last few forecasts, the weather models have been doing a good job with the overall weather pattern but are struggling with the details. Take last issue’s forecast: the overall pattern looked mild and dry, and that is exactly what we saw. But the timing of the smaller-scale features was

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