Forecast: Only slight chances for any rain

Issued September 12, 2016 – Covering the period from September 14 to September 21, 2016

After a cool start to the week, thanks to a region of cool polar air, it looks like nice fall weather is going to return for the rest of this week and next. By Wednesday, cool high pressure will be sitting to our east and we should start to see a warm southerly flow around

Forecast: Has the damp pattern finally come to an end?

Issued July 18, 2016 – Covering the period from July 20 to July 27, 2016

As predicted, last week our region experienced yet another large, strong area of low pressure that brought plenty of clouds, showers and thundershowers, along with cooler-than-average temperatures. The big question is whether this low was the last and will we finally see a switch in our weather pattern? The answer is maybe… just maybe. The


Forecast: Active weather pattern continues

Issued June 13, 2016 – Covering the period from June 15 to June 22, 2016

Last week’s forecast was a bit hit and miss. We did see some heat move in, late in the week, as the upper ridge finally moved in, but a couple of upper-level disturbances brought some pretty unsettled weather over the weekend, along with much cooler-than-expected temperatures. For this forecast period, it looks like our active

Forecast: Upper low to bring unsettled weather

Issued May 9, 2016 – Covering the period from May 11 to May 18, 2016

Most of last week’s forecasts played out pretty much as expected, with high pressure dominating our region bringing plenty of sunshine, dry conditions and warm temperatures. A big question mark is whether this will be our new pattern — or was this only a temporary reprieve from what we experienced in April? Normally I am


Forecast: High pressure to bring warm, dry weather

Issued May 2, 2016 – Covering the period from May 4 to May 11, 2016

As forecast last week, our weather pattern has undergone an expected shift, as high pressure continues to build over our region. With this building ridge it looks like winter is going to be firmly locked away well to our north, and we’ll start to feel some summer-like heat moving in. This forecast period begins with

Forecast: Main storm track stays to our south

Issued March 28, 2016 – Covering the period from March 30, 2016 to April 6, 2016

During the last week or so we’ve seen one of the more active weather patterns so far this winter and early spring. For this forecast period it looks like the more active weather will be staying to our south. This will mean less precipitation, but cooler conditions. This forecast period begins with a major storm


Forecast: Spring is having trouble getting hold

Issued March 21, 2016 – Covering the period from March 23, 2016 to March 30, 2016

The expected changes in our weather pattern materialized last week with an extremely warm early-spring pattern being replaced by a more seasonal one. If the mild-cool pattern we’ve seen all winter persists, we can expect to see cooler conditions for the next couple of weeks before above-average temperatures move back in. This forecast period will

The problem with spring weather forecasts

Here’s when warm and cool air masses are their strongest, relative to each other

Springtime is one of my favourite, yet least favourite, times of the year. I love the fact that it’s warming up; as the older I get the more I find myself thinking about how I can end up spending most of my winters in the tropics. I love the melt season (usually), as the little


Forecast: Warming up by the weekend

Issued February 29, 2016 – Covering the period from March 2, 2016 to March 9, 2016

Last week’s forecast didn’t turn out exactly as forecast, but the cold air did finally arrive; it just took a couple of extra days to show up. As we’ve seen several times this winter, warm Pacific air won out over colder arctic air, at least for a little while. The main systems developed as expected

Forecast: Still a little early to think of spring

Issued Feb. 22, 2016, covering the period from Feb. 24, 2016 to Mar. 2, 2016

The start of my forecasts is beginning to sound a bit like a broken record. It doesn’t look like the current weather pattern we’ve been in for the last month or so is going to change any time soon. If you think winter has come to an early end and spring is ready to move