Averaged global sea surface temperature anomalies (in degrees Celsius) for the week centred on May 2, 2018. (NOAA Climate Prediction Center graphic)

El Nino pattern could emerge by 2018-19 winter

Reuters — The El Nino weather pattern, associated with warmer and wetter weather than usual that may give rise to damaging conditions, could emerge by the 2018-19 Northern Hemisphere winter, with neutral conditions expected to prevail through November this year, a U.S. government weather forecaster said on Thursday. The last El Nino, a warming of


Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius for the week centred on Jan. 31. (CPC.ncep.noaa.gov)

La Nina seen likely to fade by spring

Reuters — The current La Nina weather cycle is likely to transition into more neutral conditions by spring, a U.S. government weather forecaster said Thursday. La Nina is characterized by unusually cold ocean temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean and is linked with floods and droughts. It is the opposite phase of what is known

Despite El Niño coming to an end earlier this year, the globe still appears to be running a temperature.

Warm global temperatures and La Niña

Usually La Niña means colder temperatures but this is a weak one

I figured it was time to review what has been going on with global temperatures over the last few months. Despite El Niño coming to an end earlier this year, the globe still appears to be running a temperature. September came in as the fourth-warmest September on record according to both NOAA and NASA, while


Sea surface temperature anomalies over the Pacific for the week centred on May 31. (CPC.ncep.noaa.gov)

U.S. forecaster sees El Nino unlikely through fall

Reuters — A U.S. government weather forecaster on Thursday said there are no active El Nino or La Nina patterns and that neutral conditions are likely in the Northern Hemisphere during fall 2017. However, chances for El Nino remain elevated, between 35 and 50 per cent, relative to the long-term average into the fall, the

USA, Oregon, Cannon beach

El Niño conditions are developing in the Pacific

We know La Niña and El Niño both have an effect on weather — but predicting it is still a real challenge

El Niño conditions are developing across the Pacific with an increasing probability that a full-fledged El Niño episode will occur during the second half of 2017. Pacific equatorial winds have slackened since the start of the year and a characteristic tongue of warm water has begun to form stretching from Peru towards the international dateline.


Early morning Oct. 22, 2016 in St. Andrews north of Winnipeg, Man.

Top five regional weather stories of 2016

Last fall’s heat wave was amazing in its duration — and by how much it broke records

Before we dive into this week’s topic I think I need to change my weather outlook for March. Currently, the medium-range weather models show cooler weather sticking around until at least the third week of March. Even if we see a dramatic warmup during the last week of the month, it will not be enough