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CBOT weekly outlook: ‘No fireworks’ in January USDA reports

MarketsFarm — Updated supply/demand data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture were slightly bearish for grains and relatively neutral for soybeans, although there were no real surprises, according to an analyst. “There were no fireworks out of this report,” said Terry Reilly of Futures International in Chicago. World numbers put some pressure on wheat futures,

CBOT March 2022 wheat (candlesticks) with K.C. March 2022 wheat (yellow line) and MGEX March 2022 wheat (green line, left column). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Wheat futures fall on bigger-than-expected plantings, stocks

Winter wheat plantings exceed analysts' expectations; USDA also cuts corn, soybean crop estimates in South America

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. wheat futures extended losses on Wednesday after the U.S. Department of Agriculture projected that domestic farmers planted more acres than traders anticipated. Larger-than-expected USDA estimates for wheat inventories added pressure on the market, analysts said, after supply concerns drove Chicago Board of Trade futures prices to nine-year highs in November.


CBOT March 2022 wheat (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, orange and dark green lines) and K.C. March 2022 wheat (blue line). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Wheat up on export business

Corn, soy firm ahead of USDA data

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. wheat futures rose about one per cent on Tuesday on a pickup in global export business and short-covering ahead of several key U.S. Department of Agriculture reports due on Wednesday, traders said. Corn and soybean futures edged higher ahead of the reports, which will include updated estimates of U.S. 2021

The RFS’s clearest success has been boosting income for corn and soybean farmers and related agricultural firms.

Comment: U.S. biofuel mandate helps farmers, but does little else

Research shows it does little for energy security and harms the environment

If you’ve pumped gas at a U.S. service station over the past decade, you’ve put biofuel in your tank. Thanks to the federal Renewable Fuel Standard, or RFS, almost all gasoline sold in the U.S. is required to contain 10 per cent ethanol – a fuel made from plant sources, mainly corn. With the recent


Payments to corn farmers were approximately US$3 billion more than USDA’s final estimated damages from the trade war.

U.S. corn farmers overpaid in Trump trade aid

An impartial government agency said industry overestimated the value of lost export business

Reuters – The Department of Agriculture overpaid U.S. corn farmers in 2019 by around US$3 billion for impacts from former president Donald J. Trump’s trade policies, in part because the agency overestimated the value of their lost export business, according to a non-partisan government agency report. The Market Facilitation Program in 2018 and 2019 distributed

CBOT March 2022 soybeans (candlesticks) with 20-day moving average (green line) and ICE March 2022 canola (yellow line, left column). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Soy, corn sag on South American weather outlooks

Wheat firms

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. soybean and corn futures fell on Monday on forecasts calling for much-needed rains in dry areas of South America, along with long liquidation ahead of several key U.S. government reports due at mid-week, analysts said. Wheat futures firmed on short-covering and the unwinding of inter-market spreads. Chicago Board of Trade


CBOT March 2022 soybeans (candlesticks) with 20-day moving average (yellow line) and CBOT March 2022 soymeal (green line, left column). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Soybeans rally, following soymeal gains

Wheat capped by big Argentina, Australia crops

Chicago | Reuters –– Chicago soybean futures rallied on Friday, supported by soymeal demand and weather issues in South America. Corn followed higher, although crops in Argentina and Brazil are likely less impacted by drought in the region as they have more time to benefit from rainfall expected later this month. Wheat rebounded from a



CBOT March 2022 soybeans (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, green and black lines). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Soybeans ease after weather rally

Corn firms, wheat slips to nearly three-month low

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago soybean futures dipped on Thursday as broad selling in financial markets countered weather concerns in South America that had pushed prices to a five-month high. Corn ended just above even, paring losses as private estimates of South American crops fell further due to hot, dry conditions in the region. Wheat