Forecast: Chances of rain beyond the weekend

Issued October 17, 2016 – Covering the period from October 19 to October 26, 2016

Not that this summer’s weather was very predictable, but fall and spring tend to be notorious periods for accurate forecasting. During these periods, the atmosphere is changing due to the rapid shift in incoming solar radiation (that is, sunlight). We saw this over the last forecast period, as a western low developed as expected, but

Forecast: Milder weather moving back in

Issued October 10, 2016 – Covering the period from October 12 to October 19, 2016

Last week’s large and dominating upper low developed as expected, bringing significant amounts of rain and even some snow to western and northern regions. Believe it or not, high pressure did move in behind this system, but the high contained a lot of low clouds that kept daytime highs cooler than expected and overnight lows


Forecast: Much cooler weather moving in

Issued October 3, 2016 – Covering the period from October 5 to October 12, 2016

Once again, weather models did a good job predicting major weather makers over the last week, but as we have seen several times over the past months, the models struggled with the timing of these systems. The strong area of low pressure that was forecast to develop to our west last weekend and then move

Forecast: A chance of rain early next week

Issued September 26, 2016 – Covering the period from September 28 to October 5, 2016

The strong storm system the weather models forecast last weekend to affect our region did materialize, but as usual with strong storms, it didn’t behave exactly as expected. Instead of coming in as one main system, it came through in waves of energy. It also took a more westerly and northerly track, which resulted in


Forecast: A battle between high and low pressure

Issued September 19, 2016 – Covering the period from September 21 to September 28, 2016

Fall is usually a tough time of year to forecast as we begin our shift from summer to winter. This year looks like it might be tougher than most, since our summer weather pattern was pretty unpredictable. We saw a little of this last week. The storm system that was forecast to track by to

Forecast: Only slight chances for any rain

Issued September 12, 2016 – Covering the period from September 14 to September 21, 2016

After a cool start to the week, thanks to a region of cool polar air, it looks like nice fall weather is going to return for the rest of this week and next. By Wednesday, cool high pressure will be sitting to our east and we should start to see a warm southerly flow around


Forecast: Is the weather pattern switching?

Issued September 2, 2016 – Covering the period from September 7 to September 14, 2016

Due to the September long weekend my deadline is a little earlier than usual, which means my confidence in this forecast will be fairly low. That said, I’ll do my best to generalize the expected weather over the upcoming seven-day period beginning Sept. 7. It doesn’t help that it looks like our weather pattern is

Forecast: Warm with the chance of more thunderstorms

As summer unofficially draws to a close it looks like the warm and relatively dry weather we’ve been seeing will continue. Last issue’s forecast played out fairly well, with the large western low drifting by to our north late in the weekend and the trailing cold front bringing some fairly strong thunderstorms late last Sunday.


Forecast: Chance of showers to start, then dry

Issued August 22, 2016 – Covering the period from August 24 to August 31, 2016

As summer slowly winds down, most regions felt the first little hints of autumn last weekend, as overnight lows dropped into the 5 C range. For this forecast period it looks like summer is going to continue to hang around. That means we’ll probably end up seeing a few hot days, the odd day with

Forecast: Seasonable late-summer weather

Issued August 15, 2016 – Covering the period from August 17 to August 24, 2016

For a change, last week’s upper low ended up weakening considerably as it passed through our region, so instead of seeing several days with clouds and showers we only saw partly cloudy skies with only a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. For this forecast period, for the first time in a long while, it