Weather Vane

The weather models got the basic pattern correct during the last forecast period, but some of the details were off and, as I have pointed out more than once, the devil is in the details. Cold air built in a little earlier than expected and pushed a little farther south, resulting in colder-than-forecasted temperatures. Luckily,

Last issue’s forecast started off on a good foot as it correctly forecasted the complex area of low pressure that brought rain, freezing rain and snow to a large portion of southern and central Manitoba last Wednesday and Thursday. It was also correct in that the low would not bring large amounts of snow. Where

It has been a while since my last weather forecast and, of course, I just happened to miss a period of nice, quiet and predictable weather. For this forecast period, it is increasingly looking as though we will see a switch in our weather pattern to one that will bring a return to more seasonable

It wasn’t surprising that the weather models did such a good job predicting last week’s early-winter heat wave. The models had been consistently showing this happening for a while and they are usually correct when it comes to large weather features like this. For this forecast period, it looks like the weather pattern is going