Weather: One more shot of arctic air ahead?

Forecast issued Feb. 11, covering the period from Feb. 16 to Feb. 23, 2022

Well, last forecast wasn’t too bad; we saw a couple of storm systems move through and the cold air did arrive over the weekend as predicted. I started to get a little worried that I may have lost my touch. For this forecast period it looks like our general weather pattern is fighting between staying

Thoughts on a cold, wet January

Computer models predict near- to above-average precipitation ahead

Hard to believe the first month of 2022 is already over. After a warm start to this winter, we saw the weather pattern switch to a much colder one in late December and that cold pattern stuck around for a good part of January. Unless you went away for all of January, you pretty much know it was a


Weather: Forecast serves up a mixed bag

Forecast issued Feb. 4, covering the period from Feb. 9 to Feb. 16, 2022

I broke one of my own forecasting rules — well, maybe rule is not the right term, how about concept, that is, the concept of weather persistence. Once we are in a pattern, that pattern will often continue until something significant comes along to change it. The pattern we have been in for the last

Are sunspots slowing global warming?

When sunspots increase, so too does the amount of energy coming from the sun

As I write this there are still four days left in January. That means it’s a little too early for me to do a look back at January’s weather — spoiler alert, it was colder than average. For this issue, I am going to examine a topic that was brought up by a reader in


Weather: Arctic highs look to dominate

Forecast issued Jan. 28, covering the period from Feb. 2 to Feb. 9, 2022

Last issue’s forecast turned out to be a bit of a bust. The models kind of got things right, but the timing of the weather systems ended up getting way out of sync, making the forecasts not very useful. For this forecast period, the confidence in the forecast is pretty high, but not for a

Are we slowly working our way out of a drought?

Some relatively dry winters have messed with our perception of what’s average

What was on almost everyone’s mind at the start of this winter was the ongoing drought across our region. Hopes were high that we wouldn’t see a repeat of last winter and after a fairly early dump of snow, those hopes were bolstered. Then that first dump of snow partially melted away and the first


Weather: Cold temps sticking around

Forecast issued Jan. 21, covering the period from Jan. 26 to Feb. 2, 2022

If you thought my last forecast was a little off or sounded strange, it was. Due to a technical glitch, the incorrect forecast was sent, and I didn’t catch it until it was already published. On the good news front, we are now statistically passing the coldest time of the year. Going forward, the usual

A quick look back at the weather in 2021

The weather models aren’t very consistent about temperatures for early 2022

In my last column, we finished up our look at the top Canadian weather stories of 2021. Since then, the top weather stories from around the world have come out and not surprisingly, the top story was the late-June/early-July heat wave that hit Western Canada and the northwestern United States. Now I don’t want to


Weather: Milder with a chance of snow

Forecast issued Jan. 14, covering the period from Jan. 19-26, 2022

Once again, the weather models have been doing a fairly good job of predicting the big picture, but just like the last forecast period they struggled with the details. We saw this last weekend as the weather models totally missed a weak system moving through ahead of the next arctic high. This system brought a

Canada’s top weather stories of 2021

Part 2 | Wait, we had a severe cold snap last winter?

In my last column we began our look at the top Canadian weather stories of 2021 and from the perspective of weather, what a year it was! The two top stories were the incredible heat wave that impacted a huge area of Western Canada in late June and early July and the devastating flooding that