Weather: Typical early-summer conditions ahead

Forecast issued June 10, covering the period from June 15 to 22, 2022

Surprise, surprise, surprise — the weather models did a pretty good job with last week’s forecast. We saw slowly warming temperatures with the chance of showers or thunderstorms over the weekend and into the early part of this week. The main question now is whether the dry weather will continue — or will we see

A math lesson on near-record spring precipitation

The skies emptied several million Olympic swimming pools into Manitoba

If you read my last weather article, I gave May’s weather statistics a couple of days early hoping that the potential Colorado low was going to either miss us or only bring a little bit of rain. Well, was I wrong! Again. That low brought upward of 80 mm of rain to some areas of


Weather: Summer trying to establish itself

Forecast issued June 3, covering the period from June 8 to 15, 2022

If you recall back to last week’s forecast, there was some disagreement between the two main weather models. The second weather model was the one that got our last forecast correct, which was unfortunate for us, as the sixth Colorado low in the last two months brought us more rain and cool temperatures. This low

Will summer be cold and wet or hot and dry?

Weather-wise, May 2022 turned out to be a sequel to April

Once again, I am in the position of having to write the monthly weather roundup while there are several days left in the month. Due to my deadline being the Friday before you read this, I had to decide whether I should wait one more issue to take our monthly look back and then peer


Forecast: Drier pattern trying to establish itself

FORECAST | Issued May 27, 2022, covering the period from June 1 to 8, 2022

Well, the last forecast got the overall pattern right, but, in a good sign that we are switching to a summer-like pattern, the exact timing, strength and positioning of the systems were a little off. We did see the expected warm-up and the strong low did develop to our southwest, but it tracked northward in

Forecast: Warmer temperatures on the way

Forecast issued May 20, 2022, covering the period from May 25 to June 1, 2022

Last issue’s forecast did a good job overall, but it was off a little bit in the timing of the systems and the behaviour of the big storm system that hit a large part of southern and central Manitoba on May 19-20. The original forecast called for a low to track through on Thursday, May


Weather: Summer will get here before spring gets a chance

Forecast issued May 13, covering the period from May 18 to 25, 2022

The first part of last week’s forecast played out fairly close to what the weather models were predicting. Another Colorado low developed as forecasted and moved nearly due north from May 12 to 13, bringing with it more rain along with some thundershowers and thunderstorms. The second part of the forecast did not play out

Drought ends; next up, thunderstorms

Severe thunderstorms are still possible without warm air at the surface

Nearly every year around this time I like to take the time to explore the topic of thunderstorms — and in particular, severe thunderstorms. I also like to look back at previous years to see what other topics I have covered. Looking back at last year at this time, we were discussing the ongoing drought.


Weather: Mild temps look like they’ll stick around

Forecast issued May 6, covering the period from May 10 to 17, 2022

Last week’s forecast hit the nail on the head with the arrival of warm spring temperatures. Daytime highs were forecast to push the 20 C mark by Friday of the first weekend in May and the weather did it by Thursday in many locations. What the models did not get right, unfortunately, was the return

Thoughts on a cold, but not record-cold, April

The CanSIPS model expects dry weather to return over the next couple of months

As I write this it is not quite the end of April, and with the third Colorado low in three weeks expected to hit a large part of southern Manitoba over the final day of the month, I had to hem and haw as to whether I should try and write up a month-end review.