After a fairly dry first half of February, it’s starting to look like the weather pattern will become more active, with a couple of chances for measurable snow during this forecast period.
After the near-and record-breaking mild temperatures that graced our region early in the week, the models point toward a significant cooldown by the weekend. As the cold air begins to slide southward, the models develop an area of low pressure to our southwest late on Wednesday. This low is forecast to move east-northeast, bringing a good chance of snow to much of southern and central Manitoba on Thursday and into Friday. The models are not yet in good agreement about this system, but there is a small chance we could see some significant snow along with high winds. This system is definitely worth watching.
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Once this system pushes by, cold arctic high pressure will quickly slide southward, bringing a return to more winterlike temperatures. Luckily it looks as if this region of high pressure will move through quickly, resulting in warmer temperatures moving back in by early next week. On the negative side, the models hint at another chance for measurable snow late Monday or Tuesday, as another area of low pressure is forecast to develop to our southwest and will push northeast from the central U.S.
Looking beyond this, arctic high pressure looks like it will once again slide southward into our region, bringing seasonable temperatures to finish off the month.
Usual temperature range for this period: Highs:-16 to -2 C.Lows:-29 to -10 C.
