GFM Network News


Forecast: Milder, with a slight chance of snow

Covering the period from February 17 to March 3

The first part of last issue’s forecast played out fairly close to what the weather models were predicting, but by the second half, the weather and the weather models were not exactly agreeing with each other, as milder-than-expected air moved into our region, pushing temperatures to around the freezing mark. For this forecast period, the

Forecast: Colder, but not much snow expected

Covering the period from January 13 to January 20

It has been a while since my last weather forecast and, of course, I just happened to miss a period of nice, quiet and predictable weather. For this forecast period, it is increasingly looking as though we will see a switch in our weather pattern to one that will bring a return to more seasonable


Forecast: Not much snow expected

Covering the period from December 23 to December 30

Usually by this time of the year we have settled into a predictable winter pattern. This year, winter has been struggling to take hold and as a result, the overall weather pattern is remaining fairly unpredictable. It looks like the weather for this holiday season is going to bounce around from above average to below

What’s your perfect Christmas weather?

A white Christmas on the Prairies is a good bet

Every few years I like to revisit the topic of “perfect Christmas holiday weather.” As we head into this holiday season, with some areas worried about whether it will be a white or brown Christmas, I think it’s appropriate we revisit it again this year. As I went through the last couple of times I

Forecast: Trending back toward warm weather

Covering the period from December 16 to December 23

Last issue’s forecast wasn’t that great, which shouldn’t be too surprising, as every time the atmosphere undergoes a switch in patterns, things tend to be rather unpredictable. While the details of the forecast were off, the general pattern was on the mark, with the end of the extremely mild weather and the beginning of more


About half the time when it snows in the Winnipeg area, the event produces less than two cm of snow.

A look at snowfall days and snowfall events

Probabilities have a storm with over 30 cm of snow hitting Winnipeg about once every 10 years

A couple of articles ago I wrote about when we should normally expect winter to begin. With most areas seeing very little snow so far this year, I thought now might be a good time to look at snowfall probabilities. Just how much snow can we typically expect with each snowfall? Is the little snow

Forecast: Expect a shift in weather pattern

Covering the period from December 9 to December 16

It wasn’t surprising that the weather models did such a good job predicting last week’s early-winter heat wave. The models had been consistently showing this happening for a while and they are usually correct when it comes to large weather features like this. For this forecast period, it looks like the weather pattern is going

Warm, dry weather expected into December

Computer modelling suggests precipitation closer to average levels in January

What a difference a month can make. If you remember back to October, it was a cold and snowy, yet dry month. Temperatures across southern and central Manitoba averaged from 2.5 to 3.5 C below the long-term average, with precipitation also coming in well below average. Jump ahead 30 days and we have gone from


Seasonal forecast calls for more snow

MarketsFarm — Most of Canada should see above-normal snowfall over the next three months, according to updated seasonal forecasts released Monday from Environment Canada. Weather maps show a 40 to 60 per cent probability of more precipitation than normal across much of the country from December through February, with the heaviest accumulations expected in Quebec.

If we consider the probability of getting a snowfall of 30 cm or more in one day, we’d find that kind of event only actually occurs once every 30 years or so.

When should we expect winter to start?

If winter as we know it begins before or after these dates, call it an unusual year

Every year around this time I get a lot of questions asking when we should expect the first snowfall or when I expect that winter will begin. So, while this article was supposed to continue our look at atmospheric oscillations — and in particular, jet streams — I felt we could afford to take a