Weather: Below average temperature trend continues

Forecast issued Mar. 24, 2023, covering the period from Mar. 29 to Apr. 5, 2023

Another week has come and gone, and the question remains: When will spring get here? Similar to last week’s forecast, the answer is, don’t hold your breath. It is going to slowly get warmer as the amount of daylight and strength of the Sun increases, but the overall weather pattern continues to lean toward continuation of below-average temperatures.

Forecast: Arctic air continues to dominate

Issued March 17, 2023 • Covering the period from March 22 to 29, 2023

When will spring get here? When will the melt start? Those are the questions I’ve heard most in recent days. Thanks to a series of arctic highs, it looks like spring, or the melt, will not move in until early April. We saw the impact of these arctic highs in the last forecast period. For


Weather: Cold start, followed by slow warming trend

Forecast issued Mar. 10, 2023, covering the period from Mar. 15 to Mar. 22, 2023

If you follow the weather and weather forecasting, the last forecast period was interesting. If you have been following my weather articles and forecasts over the years, you know I rarely bash Environment Canada, but I couldn’t help but do a lot of head-scratching last week. Early last week it was forecasting several days of

Weather: Little if any snow expected

Forecast issued Mar. 3, 2023, covering the period from Mar. 8 to Mar. 15, 2023

You can tell when the weather pattern starts to switch into spring mode, not because we necessarily see warmer weather, but because the weather models have a tough time with medium-range forecasts. We saw this in the last forecast. Confidence was low and it looked as though we would be stuck between the two main


Weather: We’re stuck between systems

Forecast issued Feb. 24, 2023, covering the period from Mar. 1 to Mar. 8, 2023

I’m increasingly impressed with the weather models lately. Once again, they did a bang-up job with the medium-range forecast. We saw a strong area of low pressure develop across the central U.S., which brought plenty of severe winter weather to our American neighbours and to the east during last issue’s forecast period. We stayed high

Weather: Storms expected to stay to our south

Forecast issued Feb. 17, 2023, covering the period from Feb. 22 to Mar. 1, 2023

The weather models have been on a bit of a roll lately as last week’s forecast once again played out close to what was predicted. We saw an abrupt return to cold weather, followed by a quick weekend warm-up, then followed by a return to colder conditions. The main storm track stayed either well to


Weather: Small chance of any significant snowfall

Forecast issued Feb. 10, 2023, covering the period from Feb. 15 to Feb. 22, 2023

Once again last week’s forecast began on the right track, with warm weather moving in last Wednesday followed by a cooling trend on Thursday and Friday. What it missed out on was the strength of the warming trend. The push of warm air ended up being much stronger than anticipated as the upper ridge of

Weather: Seasonably mild with little snow expected

Forecast issued Feb. 3, 2023, covering the period from Feb. 8 to Feb. 15, 2023

Last week’s forecast was a bit of mixed bag, accuracy-wise. Lucky for us the forecast turned out better than expected. We did see cold air move in during the first half of the forecast period, with some of the coldest air of the winter dropping temperatures into the mid-minus-30s last Friday morning. The expected Alberta


Weather: Temperatures near low end of usual range

Forecast issued Jan. 27, 2023, covering the period from Feb. 1 to Feb. 8, 2023

The weather models were nearly bang-on with last week’s forecast. The only missteps were a little more snow than anticipated as the Alberta clipper moved through our region last Thursday and Friday, and the slightly colder air that moved in behind that system. This was not unexpected, as a stronger push of cold arctic air

Weather: More typical winter temperatures to return

Forecast issued Jan. 20, 2023, covering the period from Jan. 25 to Feb. 1, 2023

The nice mid-winter weather continued, and if you are like me, you know that eventually this pattern will break down and we will see a return of average or below-average temperatures. Last week’s forecast did pretty well, considering the sluggish weather pattern. We saw mostly cloudy skies and mild temperatures, with occasional periods of light snow and fog.