Weather Vane Archives - Page 15 of 49

Weather: Forecast serves up a mixed bag

Forecast issued Feb. 4, covering the period from Feb. 9 to Feb. 16, 2022

By Daniel Bezte February 10, 2022

I broke one of my own forecasting rules — well, maybe rule is not the right term, how about concept, that is, the concept of weather persistence. Once we are in a pattern, that pattern will often continue until something significant comes along to change it. The pattern we have been in for the last

Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: Arctic highs look to dominate

Forecast issued Jan. 28, covering the period from Feb. 2 to Feb. 9, 2022

By Daniel Bezte February 3, 2022

Last issue’s forecast turned out to be a bit of a bust. The models kind of got things right, but the timing of the weather systems ended up getting way out of sync, making the forecasts not very useful. For this forecast period, the confidence in the forecast is pretty high, but not for a

Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: Cold temps sticking around

Forecast issued Jan. 21, covering the period from Jan. 26 to Feb. 2, 2022

By Daniel Bezte January 27, 2022

If you thought my last forecast was a little off or sounded strange, it was. Due to a technical glitch, the incorrect forecast was sent, and I didn’t catch it until it was already published. On the good news front, we are now statistically passing the coldest time of the year. Going forward, the usual

Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: Milder with a chance of snow

Forecast issued Jan. 14, covering the period from Jan. 19-26, 2022

By Daniel Bezte January 20, 2022

Once again, the weather models have been doing a fairly good job of predicting the big picture, but just like the last forecast period they struggled with the details. We saw this last weekend as the weather models totally missed a weak system moving through ahead of the next arctic high. This system brought a

Weather, Weather Vane

Canada’s top weather stories of 2021

Part 2 | Wait, we had a severe cold snap last winter?

By Daniel Bezte January 18, 2022

In my last column we began our look at the top Canadian weather stories of 2021 and from the perspective of weather, what a year it was! The two top stories were the incredible heat wave that impacted a huge area of Western Canada in late June and early July and the devastating flooding that

Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: Warm start, then back to cold?

FORECAST | Issued Jan. 7, covering the period from Jan. 12-19, 2022

By Daniel Bezte January 13, 2022

See what happens when you take a couple of weeks off from forecasting? We go from nice, mild, above-average temperatures to bone-chilling, well-below-average cold. While the change in weather pattern that took place over the holidays did result in cold weather, it also brought some much-needed precipitation. The questions for this forecast period are: Will

Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Canada’s top weather stories of 2021

Part 1 | The country’s two biggest weather stories this year should rank worldwide also

By Daniel Bezte January 6, 2022

As another year comes to an end, that means it’s time to look back at 2021 through the lens of the weather. Over the next few issues, I will look back at the top weather stories from across Canada and around the world. Since Environment Canada has already come out with the top Canadian weather

Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Not much snow expected over the holidays

By Daniel Bezte December 23, 2021

Well, last issue’s forecast got the main idea right, but as I have stated before, the devil is in the details. The large area of low pressure did drop southward along the coast but instead of merging the two storm tracks, the northern part of the low broke off and brought stormy conditions to the

Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: Chance of significant precipitation

Forecast issued Dec. 10, covering the period from Dec. 15 to 22, 2021

By Daniel Bezte December 16, 2021

Last week’s forecast was not too bad — maybe a little off on the temperatures, as we saw slightly warmer readings than forecasted. The main storm track did remain split, keeping our region on the dry side with only a light dusting of snow here and there. For this forecast period, I’m in a bit

Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: A little less uncertainty ahead

FORECAST | Issued Dec. 3, 2021, covering the period from Dec. 8 to 15, 2021

By Daniel Bezte December 9, 2021

I warned you that last week’s forecast held a lot of uncertainty, and while we didn’t see any wild swings in the weather from what the weather models were forecasting, the forecast seemed to change almost daily, and my forecast was pretty much totally invalid within a couple of days of writing it — frustrating!

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Tag Archives Weather Vane

Weather: Forecast serves up a mixed bag

Weather: Arctic highs look to dominate

Weather: Cold temps sticking around

Weather: Milder with a chance of snow

Canada’s top weather stories of 2021

Weather: Warm start, then back to cold?

Canada’s top weather stories of 2021

Forecast: Not much snow expected over the holidays

Weather: Chance of significant precipitation

Weather: A little less uncertainty ahead

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