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Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Are more thunderstorms ahead?

Forecast issued Aug. 19, 2022, covering Aug. 24-31, 2022

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For the second week in a row, the forecast kind of fell apart. The culprits this time around were a couple of innocent small upper-level lows. Last issue’s forecast began with mention of some slight instability. Well, that instability manifested itself as an upper low that tracked through our region on Aug. 15, setting off
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

A mixed outlook for July and August

The long-range forecasts from various sources are all over the map, meaning confidence is low

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I don’t know about you, but June seemed to go by in a flash. It is hard to believe we are halfway through 2022, and depending on where you live across the Prairies, it has been a very interesting first six months. So, how did the numbers add up for June? Starting in Alberta and
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Will summer be cold and wet or hot and dry?

Weather-wise, May 2022 turned out to be a sequel to April

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Once again, I am in the position of having to write the monthly weather roundup while there are several days left in the month. Due to my deadline being the Friday before you read this, I had to decide whether I should wait one more issue to take our monthly look back and then peer
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Drier pattern trying to establish itself

FORECAST | Issued May 27, 2022, covering the period from June 1 to 8, 2022

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Well, the last forecast got the overall pattern right, but, in a good sign that we are switching to a summer-like pattern, the exact timing, strength and positioning of the systems were a little off. We did see the expected warm-up and the strong low did develop to our southwest, but it tracked northward in
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warmer temperatures on the way

Forecast issued May 20, 2022, covering the period from May 25 to June 1, 2022

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Last issue’s forecast did a good job overall, but it was off a little bit in the timing of the systems and the behaviour of the big storm system that hit a large part of southern and central Manitoba on May 19-20. The original forecast called for a low to track through on Thursday, May
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: A little less uncertainty ahead

FORECAST | Issued Dec. 3, 2021, covering the period from Dec. 8 to 15, 2021

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I warned you that last week’s forecast held a lot of uncertainty, and while we didn’t see any wild swings in the weather from what the weather models were forecasting, the forecast seemed to change almost daily, and my forecast was pretty much totally invalid within a couple of days of writing it — frustrating!
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Bezte: Where I get my weather information

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ONLINE | Yes, a tropical weather site can show you some good winter weather models

By the time you are reading this it will be December, so the weather article should be the usual monthly weather roundup and then our look ahead to see what the next month might hold in store for us. As most of you probably already know, I have to write these articles well ahead of
ICE January 2020 canola (candlesticks) and CBOT January 2020 soybeans (yellow line). (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Canola values stay rangebound

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MarketsFarm — Canola prices have been characterized as “firm one day and softer the next,” this week, remaining largely rangebound in light trading activity. “It’s hard to tell why, but canola oscillates between stronger than soybeans and then weaker,” said Ken Ball of P.I. Financial in Winnipeg. “It’s just spreaders playing back and forth with
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Columns, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: More showers, then sunny and dry

Forecast issued Monday, July 15, 2019 covering July 17-24, 2019

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Once again, the weather models did a pretty good job with the forecast. The heat and humidity moved in last weekend as expected and we did see several rounds of thunderstorms move through on Sunday and Monday of last week. This forecast period will begin fairly unsettled as a broad area of low pressure tracks

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