Forecast: One final shot of arctic air ahead?

Covering the period from March 11 to March 18

As expected, we did see an active storm track during the last forecast period, and as often happens, the weather models struggled. The biggest issue the weather models seem to have is with the intensity of the cold air. The models keep trying to drop in some fairly cold air, but so far, we have

Temperatures for February 2020 were right around average for the Dauphin, Brandon and Winnipeg reporting regions.

This February was much warmer than the last

The CanSIPS model predicts a colder-than-average March for the Prairies

You guessed it, it’s that time again, to look back at the previous month’s weather, then look ahead to see what the next couple of months might have in store. At this time of year, with spring just around the corner, the long-range forecast takes on a little more importance. Let’s begin by looking back


Forecast: Storm track setting up to our north

Covering the period from March 4 to March 11

Last issue’s forecast did an OK job. It captured the overall pattern, but was a little off regarding temperatures and overpredicted the amount of snow with a weak area of low pressure. This forecast period looks like it will be an interesting one. Weather models show the main storm track setting up across the central

Forecast: Is spring fighting its way in early?

Covering the period from February 19 to February 26

As I pointed out at the beginning of last week’s forecast, when there is a switch in the weather pattern, the devil is in the details and we definitely noticed that last week. The weather models correctly forecasted a couple of outbreaks of cold arctic air. What they failed to get right was just how


Forecast: Colder weather definitely moving back in

Covering the period from February 12 to February 19

Any time we see a switch in the weather pattern, the weather models tend to struggle a little bit on the day-to-day details, and we saw this happen with last week’s forecast. Colder air tried to move in several times, but these cold intrusions only lasted a day or so before milder air moved back

Cold February ahead… but not like last year’s

Cold February ahead… but not like last year’s

The last 15 years have shown an unusually large number of warm Januarys

For the 11th time over the last 15 years, this January saw above-average temperatures across all of agricultural Manitoba. Along with above-average temperatures came a mixed bag of precipitation totals, with some regions seeing above average, others near average and, you guessed it, some areas continuing to see below average. The one positive during January


Forecast: Winter’s not done yet

Covering the period from February 5 to February 12

It’s starting to sound like a broken record, but once again, the weather models have done a decent job with the short- to medium-term forecasts. It can be tough to get the temperatures bang on when we are dealing with clouds with the occasional clear patch. Also, with the stagnant flow, the weather models were

Forecast: Split flow brings mild weather

Covering the period from January 29 to February 5

Once again, the weather models have been doing a decent job with the short- to medium-term forecasts. As usual, some of the smaller details are getting missed, but the models are handling the overall pattern quite well. For most of the last forecast period and the first part of this forecast period we have been


In 2019 we had Arctic heat and a cold February

Directly or indirectly, several tropical storm systems also rained down on Canada

After taking a break from the top weather stories of 2019 last week to take a look at the latest long-term weather forecasts, it’s time to dive back into the top weather stories. In the last top weather story issue, I combined a couple of big Prairie weather stories into one big weather story that

Holiday weather records in Manitoba

Holiday weather records in Manitoba

Winnipeg’s coldest holiday temperatures all date back to the 19th century

Last time we took a look at Christmas weather records from across the Prairies, but for this issue I thought we would zoom in on Manitoba and expand our look to New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day. I first looked at this topic back in 2009, and then again a few years ago, so