(Dave Bedard photo)

Fund traders add to bearish bets in canola

Funds also net short in MGEX and CBOT wheat, corn

MarketsFarm — Speculative fund traders added to their net short position in canola during the week ended May 30, putting on more bearish bets while also liquidating some previous longs, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As of May 30, the net managed money short

If sufficient rain doesn’t reach newly seeded Prairie crops in a timely fashion, canola futures may finally break higher.

A short but tough week for canola

Another year of tight canola stocks predicted

There wasn’t much to prop up canola values on ICE futures over the shortened week of May 23. As of May 25, the two most actively traded contracts, old-crop July and new-crop November, fell back by $11.20 and $14.40 per tonne respectively. That’s despite the former poking its head above the psychological level of $700/tonne



ICE November 2023 canola with Bollinger bands (20,2) and July 2023 canola (green line). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Don’t bank on $700 canola, analyst suggests

Fresh bullish news not yet in view

MarketsFarm — New-crop canola prices on ICE Futures seemed to be destined to remain well below $700 per tonne, according to analyst Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications in Calgary. “The market tends to be back where it came from,” Anderson said, stressing that chances of canola pushing higher requires fresh bullish news. “It’s got to


(File photo by Dave Bedard)

Speculative short position declines in canola

Traders' net long in CBOT soy also reduced

MarketsFarm — The speculative short position in canola continued to shrink during the week ended May 15, as speculators bought back short positions and put on new longs, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As of May 15, 2023, the net managed money short position

ICE July 2023 canola with 20-day moving average and November 2023 canola (yellow line). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Unclear where canola wants to go

Soy complex's trend much more apparent

MarketsFarm — While the ICE Futures canola market declined during the week ended Wednesday, the oilseed has been affected by a mixture of supports and pressures, according to commodities futures advisor David Derwin of PI Financial in Winnipeg. The July canola contract dropped $20.60 per tonne during the week to close at $714.10 on Wednesday,



ICE July 2023 canola with 20- and 50-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola showing independent strength

Prairie weather uncertainty supportive

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures’ canola market saw some independent strength relative to other oilseeds during the week ended Wednesday, as speculative positioning and the need to ration tight old-crop supplies provided support. Canadian canola stocks as of March 31 were pegged at 5.95 million tonnes by Statistics Canada in a report released Tuesday. That was


ICE July 2023 canola with 20-day moving average and November 2023 canola (yellow open/high/low/close). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Expect canola to climb higher

Seeding reported underway in southern Alberta

MarketsFarm — As better-than-expected weather across the Canadian Prairies is very likely to spur on farmers to begin their spring seeding, the market is poised to push higher over the next couple of months, according to an analyst. “We have come down to the low end of the range,” said David Derwin, commodity futures advisor

(Dave Bedard photo)

Fund short position in canola grows for first time in a month

Corn moves from net long to net short

MarketsFarm — After covering bearish bets for four straight weeks, managed money fund traders were back on the sell side of the canola market in late April, covering longs and putting on new short positions. According to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), as of April 25,