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Much of the Prairie region is heading into seeding experiencing varying levels of drought, which may be a factor guiding new-crop values in coming months.
Grain Markets, Markets

Old-crop canola trends upward through volatility

Traders’ attention is now focused on the new crop – and its potential limitations

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A ‘casino,’ a ‘craps table’ or just plain ‘crazy’ were some of the words traders and analysts used to try to explain activity in the ICE Futures canola market during the first full week of April. Futures saw some wild price swings on an hour-by-hour basis during the week ended April 9, but the general
ICE July 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, dark yellow and green lines). (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: For canola, the only certainty is volatility

"The market has to feel comfortable there’s a crop on the way"

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MarketsFarm — After starting this week with losses, canola bounced back with back-to-back gains, raising prices by more than $20 per tonne for old-crop after falling back $4-$5 on Monday. Errol Anderson, an analyst with ProMarket Communications in Calgary, emphasized there will be a good amount of volatility in the markets, with wide swings possible
ICE May 2021 canola with Bollinger (20,2) bands. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets, Weather

ICE weekly outlook: Canola fundamentals still strong in volatile market

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MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts moved higher during the week ended Wednesday, with the largest gains in the old-crop months amid ongoing concerns over tight supplies. Day-to-day activity could remain volatile at times, but underlying fundamentals should remain supportive heading into the 2021 growing season, according to an analyst. While canola futures have traded
Canada needs a large canola crop this year to restock tight supplies, which doesn’t change the fact that the crop remains expensive to grow.
Grain Markets, Markets

Canola traders’ attention now turns toward new crop

Upcoming U.S. data could provide some direction in the near term

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It’s very hard to know what’s going on,” one trader said of the volatile ICE Futures canola market during the last full trading week of March, as prices were all over the place and a number of rumours circulated in the market. The nearby May contract traded within a $50-per-tonne range during the week, with
ICE May 2021 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Canola still finding support

U.S. acreage estimates could sway futures

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MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market saw some wide price swings over the week ended Wednesday, dropping by more than $50 per tonne off its contract highs in the nearby May contract before recovering to trade just a few dollars off of those levels once again. Tight canola supplies, strength in world vegetable oil
ICE May 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 30-day moving average (green line) and CBOT May 2021 soyoil (yellow line). (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Canola’s correction likely short-lived given tight supplies

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MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market ran into a profit-taking correction on Wednesday, backing away from recently-hit contract highs. While a further correction is possible, the underlying fundamentals remain supportive and canola is expected to retain its relative strength to other oilseeds. “The market needs bullish fuel, but it’s just not getting any,” said
ICE March 2021 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Profit-taking to pressure canola

Market appearing overdone

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MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts climbed to record highs during the week ended Wednesday as concerns over tightening old-crop supplies provided support. However, the market was looking overdone to the upside and profit-taking came forward to put some pressure on values. “The traders that are still long are playing the game of forcing the

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