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ICE November 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Canola futures looking for bottom

Crushing pace remains aggressive

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MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts fell to their lowest levels in three and a half months during the week ended Wednesday, taking some direction from Chicago soyoil as harvest activity winds down across the Prairies. Losses in other markets, including Malaysian palm oil and European rapeseed futures, added to the declines in canola. “Everybody
“Pods can look dramatically different, either riper or less ripe, than the actual seeds, so we need to be cracking open those pods and looking at the seeds.” Photo: Greg Berg
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Canola following soyoil’s lead

Stat Can's principal field crop estimates will be released on Aug. 29, may affect prices

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MarketsFarm – The November canola contract rose above the C$800 per tonne mark for the first time in nearly a month during the week ended Aug. 23. However, it wasn’t without some turbulence over the last two days of trading. On Aug. 22, the November contract lost C$13.40 per tonne to close at $796.00, before
ICE May 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Rising canola market runs into resistance

Resistance seen around $835, support around $820

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MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts moved higher during the week ended Wednesday, but ran into some resistance to the upside as values held rangebound overall. “Technicals, short-covering, fund buying and a lack of selling,” were all providing support during the week along with spillover from advances in Chicago soyoil, according to Jamie Wilton of
ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Seasonal upturn possible for canola

'Good underlying support' seen in futures

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MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts may soon be due for a seasonal turn higher as harvest pressure subsides and prices should be looking very attractive to end users. However, uncertain outside influences will still dictate the overall direction. “The field certainly gets muddied by issues of geopolitics,” said MarketsFarm analyst Mike Jubinville, pointing to
ICE November 2022 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2) and 100-day moving average (green line). (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Time gap too large in StatCan report

Canola's potential yields shrank in meantime

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MarketsFarm — There has been about a one-month gap in between Statistics Canada having gathered its data for next week’s principal crops report and actually releasing the report. That’s something trader Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg finds irksome. “They’re using computer models of some kind. You would think they could get this out
ICE July 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, dark yellow and green lines). (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: For canola, the only certainty is volatility

"The market has to feel comfortable there’s a crop on the way"

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MarketsFarm — After starting this week with losses, canola bounced back with back-to-back gains, raising prices by more than $20 per tonne for old-crop after falling back $4-$5 on Monday. Errol Anderson, an analyst with ProMarket Communications in Calgary, emphasized there will be a good amount of volatility in the markets, with wide swings possible

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