GFM Network News


ICE weekly outlook: Rangebound canola vulnerable to losses

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts moved lower during the week ended Wednesday and may have more room to the downside, despite persistent harvest delays across Western Canada. “Overall, we’re still rangebound, but we’re going to the lower part of the trading window,” said analyst Errol Anderson of Pro Market Communications in Calgary. “Canola is

ICE weekly outlook: Canola trade’s eyes on StatsCan report

MarketsFarm — Although Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) released its production forecast Wednesday, markets are focused on next week’s production report from Statistics Canada — a survey-based report which should provide a clearer picture of what’s to come. AAFC’s August report kept the canola production estimate at July’s 18.575 million tonnes. “Maybe we’ll see if


Canadian canola started the spring off dry, but has seen some beneficial moisture in many areas since.

Weather supportive for canola crops, albeit not for prices

Uncertainty also continues over U.S. soybean acreage

ICE canola futures fell hard during the week ended July 5, hitting fresh contract lows in the process as improving North American weather conditions weighed on prices and bearish technical signals had speculators adding to their short positions. The canola market was closed Monday for Canada Day while the Chicago futures market was closed on





Canola falls to new lows

Bearish charts and uncertainty over the Chinese market are weighing in

ICE canola futures fell to fresh contract lows during the holiday-shortened week ended April 18, as bearish chart signals weighed on values and the trade dispute between Canada and China showed no signs of improving. Heavy spread trade during the week saw traders roll out of the May contract and into July, which now holds




North American grain and oilseed markets are also keeping an eye on seeding weather as attention turns to the 2019-20 crop.


Canola may be vulnerable if CBOT soybeans decline

China’s block on canola is already baked into the market

ICE Futures canola contracts held reasonably steady during the week ended April 5, hovering above major long-term lows as traders contemplated the lack of Chinese demand and what the trade dispute means going forward. The bearish influence of China shuttering its doors to Canadian canola has been generally factored into the market, with lows possibly