Forecast: Arctic air establishes itself

Covering the period from February 10 to February 17

Well, like most snow-producing systems so far this winter, the forecasted Colorado low never really developed last week. We did see a weak storm system move through last Thursday, bringing a light dumping of between five and eight cm of snow across a large portion of southern and central Manitoba. This storm system was then

The CFS weather model calls for near-average precipitation in February on the Prairies — outside of southern Alberta and Saskatchewan, that is.

Reflections on a warm and dry January

The CanSIPS model calls for near- to slightly above-average temperatures for February

I don’t know about you, but the first month of 2021 seemed to go by in a blink; maybe it had to do with all the warm weather. Unless you literally stayed inside for all of January there was no way you couldn’t conclude it was a warm month. Even the cold weather that moved


Forecast: Cold weather pattern trying to re-establish itself

Covering the period from February 3 to February 10

The weather models got the basic pattern correct during the last forecast period, but some of the details were off and, as I have pointed out more than once, the devil is in the details. Cold air built in a little earlier than expected and pushed a little farther south, resulting in colder-than-forecasted temperatures. Luckily,

In very small volumes of water in temperatures just below freezing, molecular motions remain large enough to weaken their structure.

Water won’t totally freeze until -40 C

What are super-cooled water droplets — and what happens when they hit the ground?

My original plan for this article was to dig deeper into the changing average or “normal” temperatures across southern and central Manitoba. Unfortunately, it is taking me longer than I thought to dig through the data and, I’ll have to admit, teaching has been a little more stressful than usual, which is cutting into some


Forecast: Colder air keeps trying to move in

Covering the period from January 27 to February 3

Once again, the weather models did a pretty good job with the medium-range forecast. We saw a northern-Alberta low dive across our region in the middle of last week, bringing with it a little snow, definitely some wind, and in a few locations even a little rain. What was different with this quick-moving storm system

This graphic shows the changes in what we’ll consider “normal” when forecasters move to use 1990-2020 as the 30-year comparison period, instead of 1980-2010.

A warmer globe brings warmer average temperatures

Despite that La Niña event, 2020 saw a new record set for ocean heat content

I said I would continue our look at the top weather stories of 2020, and I guess that is what I am going to do, in a way. My top weather story of 2020 was the projection that globally, 2020 was going to come in tied as the warmest year on record. Well, the results


Forecast: More seasonable temperatures ahead?

Covering the period from January 20 to January 27

Last issue’s forecast started off on a good foot as it correctly forecasted the complex area of low pressure that brought rain, freezing rain and snow to a large portion of southern and central Manitoba last Wednesday and Thursday. It was also correct in that the low would not bring large amounts of snow. Where

Overall, December saw well-above-average temperatures along with near- to maybe slightly below-average precipitation.

Weather across our region in 2020

Past statistics favour February to be the driest month of the year

While the final global temperatures for December and for 2020 are not yet in, that won’t stop us from looking back at our weather. We’ll begin with a quick look at December, then look back at the entire year, hitting some of the weather highs and lows of 2020. It should not come as much


Forecast: Colder, but not much snow expected

Covering the period from January 13 to January 20

It has been a while since my last weather forecast and, of course, I just happened to miss a period of nice, quiet and predictable weather. For this forecast period, it is increasingly looking as though we will see a switch in our weather pattern to one that will bring a return to more seasonable

Top weather stories of 2020

Heat was the recurring theme for the year, and it manifested itself in many ways

Hard to believe another year has come to an end, and for most of us 2020 will be one to remember, but not necessarily for the best reasons. To begin the new year, I usually take a detailed look back at the previous year and then our customary look ahead to see what the new