The forecast for the start of this week was initially showing a large western low staying to our south. This didn’t pan out as the models indicated. Instead, the western low tracked right through southern Manitoba, bringing clouds, showers and cooler temperatures. By the middle of this week high pressure should be back in charge,
Expect some fairly typical spring weather
Above-average warmth continues
In our last issue we began our annual look at severe summer weather and I did indicate we would continue on that theme in this issue. What I forgot was that another month was coming to an end, which means it’s time for our look back at April’s weather, then our look ahead to see
Last week’s forecast didn’t quite play out as expected, but it was close. The big thing that affected the forecast was the positioning of the area of high pressure that slid down from the Arctic. Instead of moving directly over Manitoba it shifted to the east by a few hundred kilometres. This allowed the western
Looking at severe summer weather
Usually around this time of the year my mind turns to summer and summer weather. In particular, I start to think about thunderstorms and severe summer weather. This year, with the summer-in-March weather pattern, we saw some really early thunderstorms, but with the cooler April weather pattern things have settled down. Now, I don’t want
High pressure to dominate this week
For most of this forecast period it looks like our weather will be dominated by high pressure. This will result in dry conditions, with temperatures starting out on the cool side and slowly warming to around average for this time of the year. A deepening area of low pressure over Eastern Canada will help an
Active thunderstorm season?
Sometimes I’m as quick as the next person to jump all over weather forecasters when they’re way off the mark. It’s easy for us to notice when a forecast is wrong, but we rarely notice how often they are right. A lot of people are also quick to say how weather forecasting hasn’t really gotten
Average spring weather
This forecast period will start with us seeing a predominantly westerly flow. To our north there will be an area of high pressure, while to our south we’ll see several weak areas of low pressure moving by within the westerly flow. This makes the first part of the forecast period a little tough to figure
Short warming, then cooler
After a fairly cold start to the week it looks like our weather will return to warmer conditions. The big question is whether we will see any precipitation. The cold arctic air mass that moved in late last weekend, behind the storm system that brought some significant snow to parts of Saskatchewan and northern Manitoba,
How ice loss influences the jet stream
I’ve spent a fair bit of time discussing the record warm weather we experienced in March over the last few weeks. We’ve looked at just what led to this remarkable weather and we discussed just how intense it really was. The fact that we saw temperatures that were between three and four standard deviations above
Will we see a warm spring… or payback?
The historic warm spell that has now gone on since last July continued in March. Actually, it didn’t just continue in March — it might have peaked in intensity. If this March isn’t the peak in intensity for this prolonged warm spell, I’m getting a little nervous about just how hot things might get in