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ICE January 2024 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Falling canola market seeks support

Canola seen as 'fairly cheap' but not attracting interest

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MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market continued its months-long downtrend as the calendar flipped over to November, with the futures looking for an outside catalyst to spark a corrective bounce. While canola has seen occasional attempts at correcting higher over the past two months, any gains proved short-lived. “The oilseeds are very swingy and
Canola’s bad day at the markets
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Canola’s bad day at the markets

Veg oils drag canola below support levels

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Despite many signs indicating a rebound, canola prices instead took off in the other direction on Oct. 19. In a selloff that left many analysts checking their charts and scratching their heads, canola blew past support levels and had its largest one-day drop in just over a month. The November contract fell $19.50/tonne to end
ICE November 2023 canola with 20- and 50-day moving averages and January 2024 canola (black line). (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Upside seen for canola prices

'Aggressive manipulation' seen as a factor

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MarketsFarm — Early gains were followed by late losses on ICE Futures’ canola market during the week ended Wednesday. The November canola contract began the week at $704.60 per tonne before rising up to $725.80/tonne on Monday, then ending the week at $711.70. The January contract went in similar directions, starting at $710.10/tonne before moving
ICE November 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Canola futures looking for bottom

Crushing pace remains aggressive

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MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts fell to their lowest levels in three and a half months during the week ended Wednesday, taking some direction from Chicago soyoil as harvest activity winds down across the Prairies. Losses in other markets, including Malaysian palm oil and European rapeseed futures, added to the declines in canola. “Everybody
ICE November 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Canola looking for a spark

Recent declines in crude oil, diesel seen as bearish

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MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market hit its lowest levels in three months on the last trading day of September but has since uncovered some support in the first days of October. Canola “has found a level where it’s stabilized, but there’s not a lot of life right now,” said Ken Ball of PI
ICE November 2023 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Canola ‘due for a bounce’

Weather co-operating, mostly, for Prairie harvesting

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MarketsFarm — A month-long decline of ICE Futures canola prices, which saw the oilseed lose $110 per tonne, came to an end and was followed by a bounce-back. While the price of the November canola contract still declined by $10/tonne to $726.10 during the week ended Wednesday, it hit its lowest price since the end
CBOT December 2023 corn with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

U.S. grains: Corn, soyoil boosted by rising energy prices

Wheat down on reports of low-priced Egyptian import tender

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Reuters — Chicago corn futures rose on Wednesday, rebounding from losses a day earlier, as ethanol feedstock enjoyed a boost from a rise in energy prices that also lifted soyoil futures, analysts said. Wheat futures fell at the Chicago Board of Trade, and K.C. hard red winter wheat futures hit a two-year low. The most-active
“Pods can look dramatically different, either riper or less ripe, than the actual seeds, so we need to be cracking open those pods and looking at the seeds.” Photo: Greg Berg
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Canola following soyoil’s lead

Stat Can's principal field crop estimates will be released on Aug. 29, may affect prices

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MarketsFarm – The November canola contract rose above the C$800 per tonne mark for the first time in nearly a month during the week ended Aug. 23. However, it wasn’t without some turbulence over the last two days of trading. On Aug. 22, the November contract lost C$13.40 per tonne to close at $796.00, before
Photo: Getty Images
Crops, Markets

USDA June soybean crush seen at 175.5 million bushels

If estimate realized, would be smallest monthly crush since September

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Chicago | Reuters – U.S. soy processors likely crushed 5.265 million short tons of soybeans, or 175.5 million bushels, in June, according to the average forecast of eight analysts surveyed by Reuters ahead of a monthly U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) report. If the estimate is realized, it would be down from the 189.3 million
ICE July 2023 canola with 20-day moving average (yellow line, right scale) and CBOT July 2023 soybean oil (dark green line, left scale). (Barchart)
Crops, Markets

ICE weekly outlook: Canola market rising into summer

New StatCan acreage estimates out next week

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MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts have climbed steadily higher since their late-May lows, nearing chart resistance to the upside on the first day of summer. Updated renewable fuel targets released by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency failed to live up to expectations, sparking a speculative selloff in soyoil. While the limit-down move in soyoil

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