The ICE Futures canola market dropped to its lowest levels in a month on Nov. 20, with future moves likely dependent on what happens in outside markets.
As to where canola and other grains go in the coming months is somewhat uncertain, said analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain in Winnipeg. He pointed directly at the incoming Trump administration in the United States and the policies the president-elect has been touting.
The ICE Futures canola market traded within a wide C$30 per tonne range during the first week of November, with the nearby price trends pointing sideways.
The ICE Futures canola market backed away from nearby highs during the week ended Oct. 16, as losses in Chicago soybeans and soyoil weighed on values. With the canola harvest in its final stages across Western Canada, the market will likely settle in a sideways range while looking to outside influences for direction.
The ICE Futures canola market climbed to its highest levels in two months to start October, but ran into resistance and may now need an outside catalyst to continue the uptrend.
The turnaround in canola futures on the Intercontinental Exchange indicates canola traders are ignoring issues with China and the strike among Port of Vancouver grain workers.
The ICE Futures canola market held above major chart support during the week ended Sept. 11, as uncertainty over a Chinese anti-dumping investigation tempered any attempts at moving higher.
Canola prices at the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) were on the rise for most of the week ended Aug. 28, until the release of Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) production estimates for the 2024-25 crop year on Aug. 28.
There is skepticism in the trade towards the latest numbers from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada and those to come from Statistics Canada on Aug. 28, according to broker Ken Ball of Ventum Financial in Winnipeg.