GFM Network News

Forecast: Watch for warming trend late in this period

Forecast issued April 30, 2021, covering the period from May 5 to 12, 2021

Well, the last forecast period was definitely a temperature roller coaster, or maybe temperature yo-yo might be a better description: 20 C one day, then struggling to make it to +5 C the next. That’s spring for you! Overall, last issue’s forecast was pretty good, but as usual, the timing of systems drifted the further

Forecast probability of precipitation above, below and near normal for the period from February through April 2021, based on three equiprobable categories from 1981-2010 climatology. Map produced Jan. 31, 2021. (Map: Environment and Climate Change Canada)

Long-range forecast points to cool, wet spring for northern Prairies

MarketsFarm — Central and northern agricultural regions of Saskatchewan and Alberta are forecast to see cooler-than-normal temperatures with above-average precipitation over the next three months, according the latest long-range outlook from Environment Canada. The department’s latest seasonal weather maps, dated Sunday, show a 40-50 per cent chance of above-normal precipitation across most of the northern

Forecast: Seasonable with a chance of snow

Forecast: Seasonable with a chance of snow

Forecast issued Nov. 13, 2020, covering the period from Nov. 18 to 25, 2020

Forecast issued Nov. 13, 2020, covering the period from Nov. 18 to 25, 2020

Due to a missed deadline last week (life got a little away from me) I can’t really discuss how good or bad the forecast was (it was really good, trust me). For this forecast period, overall confidence is not that high, which is not that unusual for this time of the year. As the atmosphere

Forecast: Seasonable with a chance of snow

Forecast issued Nov. 6, 2020, covering the period from Nov. 11 to 18, 2020

Once again, last week’s forecast did a pretty good job with the major weather features. We saw a nice warmup last week with a few locations breaking record highs last Tuesday and Wednesday. Then the weather models predicted a storm system over the weekend, and as I write this on Friday, it looks like that

Forecast: Near-freezing temperatures not that far off

Forecast issued Aug. 28, covering the period from Sept. 2 to 9

Interestingly, even though there was not a lot of confidence in much of last week’s forecast, it was the lower-confidence second half of the forecast that ended up being the most accurate. This means it looks like we are in for a period of cool weather after nearly three months of above-average conditions. Looking at

Forecast: Lots of uncertainty in the skies

Forecast issued Aug. 21, 2020, covering the period from Aug. 26 to Sept. 2, 2020

Last issue’s forecast didn’t pan out exactly as the weather models figured. As with previous forecasts, the general pattern was fairly accurate, but the timing ended up being off by several days. As we continue into the transition period between summer and fall, we will likely see more difficulties with the weather models trying to

Forecast: Hot and humid weather to continue

Last week’s forecast was a little more on track, with the prediction of hot and humid air; only problem was, the heat and humidity moved in a little earlier than expected. This forecast period is looking very much like the dog days of summer: plenty of sunshine, lots of heat and a fair bit of