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This week’s forecast: Arctic high pressure is expected to drop southward into the Prairies later this week and into the weekend, keeping temperatures below average.

While spring appears to be gaining a foothold across the western Prairies, it continues to struggle across the eastern regions. This forecast period looks milder than the last, but weather models are still not showing a clear or sustained shift toward a more spring-like pattern.

For this forecast period, it appears we will need to wait a little longer for spring to arrive. Weather models continue to show a northwesterly flow across the region, but this time the dividing line between mild and cold air has shifted slightly farther south. As a result, near to below-average temperatures are expected across much of the Prairies.

For Alberta, a cold front on Sunday and Monday could bring light snow, with a chance of more snow in the south. Saskatchewan and Manitoba can expect a mix of sun and cloud over the weekend with daytime highs ranging from -5°C to 0°C and light winds.

A series of lows, and the cold and warm air masses that come with them, will make for a temperature rollercoaster on the Prairies.

As the weather models were indicating as early as last week, we are now seeing a clear shift in our weather pattern from unseasonably warm and dry to more seasonable cold. This comes with a snowy start and additional chances for snow over the next week or two.

Weather models show the current weak, westerly flow holding in place, which means more quiet and mild weather across the Prairies.

The Feb. 4 to 11 forecast looks mostly warm across Saskatchewan, Alberta and Manitoba with chances of light precipitation in Manitoba.