AAFC updates canola in July balance sheet

Glacier FarmMedia | MarketsFarm — Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada revised its canola estimates in its July supply and demand report released on July 21.

Most notably, AAFC incorporated the updated 2024/25 canola production figure from Statistics Canada, that’s now just short of 19.19 million tonnes versus its previous call of 17.85 million.

That saw AAFC increase its feed, waste and dockage estimate from minus 959,000 tonnes in its June report to now 204,000 tonnes. As well, the department bumped up its estimate for old crop canola exports to 9.50 million tonnes.

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AAFC makes few changes to November S/D report

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada made only a handful of alterations for its November report on principal field crops. The only changes AAFC made were with all wheat and durum exports plus domestic use for all wheat and corn in the estimates released on Nov. 24. The report had been initially scheduled for Nov. 19, but AAFC said they chose to delay it until after the United States Department of Agriculture issued its November supply and demand estimates following the U.S. government shutdown.

As for 2025/26 canola, AAFC trimmed production by 200,000 tonnes at 17.80 million tonnes, based on yields slipping to 2.08 tonnes per hectare from last year’s 2.17.

As well, AAFC raised its domestic use by 500,000 tonnes at 1.90 million and dropped ending stocks by 750,000 tonnes from June to now 1.10 million.

July estimates for Canadian major crops supply and demand: in million tonnes. Source: Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada.

Grains and oilseeds
	Production			Exports
	2025/26	2025/26	2024/25	2025/26	2025/26	2024/25
	July	June		July	June
All wheat	34.433	34.730	34.958	25.700	26.100	27.200
Durum	5.571	5.431	5.870	4.600	4.600	5.400
Barley	7.900	8.080	8.144	2.740	2.840	2.840
Corn	15.450	15.107	15.345	2.300	2.300	2.900
Oats	3.395	3.380	3.358	2.420	2.320	2.470
Canola	17.800	18.000	19.185	6.000	6.000	9.500
Flaxseed	0.315	0.230	0.258	0.225	0.200	0.250
Soybeans	7.425	7.250	7.568	5.650	5.450	5.400
TOTAL	87.454	87.514	89.388	45.235	45.410	50.716

	Domestic Usage			Ending Stocks
	2025/26	2025/26	2024/25	2025/26	2025/26	2024/25
	July	June		July	June
All wheat	8.558	8.605	8.463	4.300	4.250	4.000
Durum	0.796	0.806	0.602	0.500	0.450	0.300
Barley	5.560	5.540	5.705	0.600	0.600	0.900
Corn	14.950	14.807	14.741	1.900	1.700	1.600
Oats	0.995	1.080	1.000	0.350	0.350	0.350
Canola	11.900	11.400	11.755	1.100	1.850	1.100
Flaxseed	0.090	0.090	0.092	0.100	0.040	0.090
Soybeans	2.250	2.250	2.465	0.530	0.555	0.555
TOTAL	44.770	44.220	44.621	9.060	9.545	8.705

Pulse and Special Crops
	Production			Exports
	2025/26	2025/26	2024/25	2025/26	2025/26	2024/25
	July	June		July	June
Dry peas	3.200	3.125	2.997	2.000	1.650	2.300
Lentils	2.450	2.325	2.431	2.100	2.100	2.000
Dry beans	0.400	0.370	0.424	0.400	0.380	0.400
Chickpeas	0.315	0.265	0.287	0.185	0.175	0.190
Mustard	0.105	0.085	0.192	0.095	0.095	0.095
Canaryseed	0.170	0.125	0.185	0.125	0.120	0.125
Sunflower	0.065	0.051	0.051	0.040	0.030	0.050
TOTAL	6.705	6.346	6.568	4.945	4.500	5.160

	Domestic Usage			Ending Stocks
	2025/26	2025/26	2024/25	2025/26	2025/26	2024/25
	July	June		July	June
Dry peas	0.670	0.670	0.612	0.975	1.300	0.425
Lentils	0.300	0.300	0.316	0.530	0.305	0.405
Dry beans	0.060	0.060	0.059	0.065	0.055	0.055
Chickpeas	0.085	0.085	0.081	0.170	0.150	0.085
Mustard	0.044	0.044	0.045	0.125	0.105	0.150
Canaryseed	0.015	0.015	0.014	0.120	0.080	0.090
Sunflower	0.065	0.066	0.066	0.120	0.115	0.135
TOTAL	1.239	1.240	1.193	2.105	2.110	1.345