Grain market relativity

Grain market relativity

Expert’s Radar: The difference between contract months may indicate level of demand

On the Prairies, distance between two places can be measured in many ways, and the official unit of kilometres is among the rarest. Grid roads were established every mile well before the introduction of the metric system, while time as a distance measurement is even more common. “It’s about 20 minutes away. Turn left, drive

Canola production is down from 2022 and more of it will likely end up with domestic crushers.

Canada’s grain exports remain brisk

Export's Radar: Any unrest in the Middle East will sway energy and financial markets

Harvest operations are wrapping up across the Prairies and attention in grain markets is turning to outside influences. Exports Canadian canola exports were running at a solid pace through the first 10 weeks of the 2023-24 marketing year, but that pace will be hard to maintain. Production was down on the year and more of


U.S. estimates bullish in corn, oilseeds

U.S. estimates bullish in corn, oilseeds

A rally in Chicago soy helped canola correct higher

The ICE Futures canola market tested major support levels in early October, nearing the psychological $700 per tonne level in the nearby November contract on several occasions but never dipping below that point. An eventual rally in the Chicago soy complex provided the catalyst for a more definitive correction off that low. The U.S. Department

Canola futures sit on the couch

Canola futures sit on the couch

Expert's Radar: Wheat responds to escalating hostilities

My step-counting watch is very good at reminding me to get up and move if I haven’t taken at least 250 steps in the past hour. That subtle vibration is usually enough to get me out of my chair to stretch my legs, although I sometimes miss the reminder. Agricultural futures rarely have a problem


Ending stocks of Canadian canola for 2023-24 are expected to tighten to one million tonnes.

Speculators bet against canola

Support is drawn from declines in farmer selling

The ICE Futures canola market held within a narrow trading range during the first week of October, testing downside support on several occasions as seasonal harvest pressure wound down, but the market lacked any spark to move higher. November canola found major support around $710 per tonne. Any attempts to break lower quickly ran out

Prices may react to snarled supply lines

Expert's Radar: Dry conditions limit loads on major waterways

Seasonal harvest operations will soon be winding down across Western Canada, with the soybean and corn crops in the U.S. Midwest not too far behind. How easily that grain flows out of the countryside can have a major influence on prices, especially if export demand is curtailed. Mississippi River An estimated 60 per cent of


A canola swath in south Saskatchewan on Aug. 27, 2023.

Canola markets sag, then recover

Pace of canola exports slows, wheat markets reflect stock cuts

ICE Futures canola contracts hit their weakest levels in two months in early September but eventually managed to uncover support and move off those lows, despite ongoing seasonal harvest pressure. Statistics Canada released its second model-based production estimates for the 2023-24 crop on Sept. 14, pegging the country’s canola production at 17.4 million tonnes. That was down by about

Average protein levels in wheat are reportedly on the low side elsewhere in the world.

Last year’s supplies can come in handy

Expert's Radar: Dry conditions may lift wheat protein levels

The back-to-school season is a time of beginnings as kids return to classes with new shoes and fresh haircuts, but also a time of endings as the carefree days of summer vacation are replaced by bells and schedules once again. On a last-minute trip to restock on paper and pens, I found someone’s lengthy list


Harvest watch continues

Harvest watch continues

Expert’s Radar: After an extremely variable growing season, nobody’s quite sure where production will be

Harvest is ongoing just about everywhere — the three oak trees on my front yard grew a good crop of acorns this year, with the pitter-patter of falling acorns and chirping of squirrels becoming a near constant sound. The sheer number of squirrels scrambling to bring food for the winter is impressive to say the

Cattle markets gearing up for fall

Cattle markets gearing up for fall

Buyers to the east and west all want Manitoba cattle

Manitoba cattle auctions are gearing up for a busy fall run, with most yards around the province set to start holding regular auctions before the end of August. Prices remain historically strong, which should be bringing in some yearlings earlier than normal. Given the current market conditions, it makes economic sense to start getting the