CBOT August 2020 soybeans with Bollinger (20,2) bands. (Barchart)

CBOT weekly outlook: Corn, soy in ‘Groundhog Day’ mode ahead of report

Traders expect report to show more U.S. soy acres, less corn area

MarketsFarm — Soybean and corn futures at the Chicago Board of Trade are biding their time in narrow, rangebound trade, awaiting updated acreage and stocks data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture later in the month. “It’s almost like Groundhog Day,” said Terry Reilly of Futures International in Chicago, referring to the 1993 movie in

(Dave Bedard photo)

Little change seen in June’s crop supply/demand tables

MarketsFarm — Supply/demand estimates for Canada’s major crops saw little change in updated tables released Tuesday from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. Acreage estimates from Statistics Canada are due out June 30, and should lead to more sizeable adjustments in subsequent reports. Canola ending stocks were left unchanged at 2.6 million tonnes for the current marketing


(Dave Bedard photo)

Fund short position edging down in canola

MarketsFarm — The managed money net short position in canola saw a slight reduction in mid-June, as speculators covered short positions in the market, according to the latest commitment of traders (CoT) report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The net managed money short position in ICE Futures canola came in Tuesday at

(Dragos Cojocari/iStock/Getty Images)

Hog sector hit hard by pandemic

Market weakness seen likely to push some farmers out of business

MarketsFarm — COVID-19 has hit the hog sector hard, with the double-edged sword of large supplies and reduced demand weighing heavily on the market. “The prospect of profitability at current forward prices and at current cash prices is nil… and there’s really no prospect of making anything this year,” said Tyler Fulton, director of risk


MGEX September 2020 spring wheat (candlesticks) and Kansas City (K.C.) September 2020 hard red winter wheat (yellow line). (Barchart)

CBOT weekly outlook: Spring wheat premium widening over winter wheat

Row crop futures stuck in sideways range

MarketsFarm — All eyes remain on weather conditions in U.S. grain and oilseed markets, with soybeans and corn stuck in sideways patterns while seasonal harvest pressure causes the spring wheat premium to widen over the winter wheats. The advancing winter wheat harvest has weighed on Chicago and Kansas City winter wheat contracts recently, with reports



(Dave Bedard photo)

Fund traders still bearish on canola

MarketsFarm — The managed money net short position in canola grew to nearly 50,000 contracts in the latest commitment of traders (CoT) report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The net managed money short position in ICE Futures canola came in Tuesday at 48,777 contracts (3,932 long/52,709 short), an increase of about 10,000

(Split Second Stock/iStock/Getty Images)

With beer taps off, malt barley demand down

No significant drop in barley acres expected

MarketsFarm — Declining beer consumption due to the COVID-19 pandemic will also lead to reduced demand for the malt barley to brew it — but acreage to the crop is unlikely to see much adjustment on the Prairies. “I don’t think there’s any question — without sporting events, and festivals, and concerts – that beer



A corn crop west of Grunthal, Man. on Aug. 17, 2019. (Dave Bedard photo)

Feed weekly outlook: Cheaper corn to temper rising barley bids

Lack of farmer selling a factor in bids

MarketsFarm — Rising feed barley prices in Western Canada may be nearing their upper limit, as end users look to add more cheaper corn to their rations. “The higher that barley and wheat get, the more attractive corn gets,” said Mike Fleischhauer of Eagle Commodities in Lethbridge. “If barley and wheat go any higher, we’ll