Last issue’s forecast began well, as an area of low pressure did move across the northern Prairies, bringing with it a cold front and cooler temperatures last weekend and into the early part of the last week of July.
The last part of that forecast looks as though it may be off, as the return of hot temperatures is less certain.
Looking at this forecast period, the main weather models start with more seasonable temperatures as the northwesterly flow remains established across our region. A departing upper low will likely bring a mix of sun and clouds on Wednesday along with a few showers. High pressure is forecast to move in on Thursday and Friday, bringing with it sunshine and pleasant temperatures. Expect daytime highs to be in the 23 C range with overnight lows falling to around 12 C.
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Over the long weekend, it looks like the seasonably cool weather will continue. The weather models show another strong area of low pressure tracking through the Arctic that will help to reinforce the northwesterly flow across our region.
We may see the odd thundershower on Friday or Saturday with the passage of a weak cold front, but overall, skies should be sunny with a few afternoon clouds. Daytime highs continue to look like they will be in the low to maybe mid-20s, with overnight lows falling in the 10 to 14 C range.
To kick off the first week of August, the weather models hint at warmer temperatures moving back in. However, they flip back and forth between a warmer and cooler pattern, so confidence at this point is not very high.
Usual temperature range for this period: highs, 21 to 30 C; lows, 11 to 17 C.