Mild weather moves back in on the Prairies

Issued: Monday, April 27, 2015 – Covering: April 29 – May 6, 2015

Reading Time: < 1 minute

Published: April 30, 2015

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mean temperature trends Canada

Sometimes you just have to love the way the weather works out. Looking at last week’s forecast, depending on where you lived, it was either way off or perfect. For those of you who thought it was perfect, the predicted forecast wasn’t the reason why. When it comes to weather forecasting, sometimes you just can’t win!

This week’s forecast is pretty simple and the agreement among the weather models is fairly high, which means there is reasonably high confidence in this forecast.

We should begin this forecast period with the western ridge of high pressure building over our region and bringing with it plenty of sunshine, along with very warm temperatures. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see highs in the mid-20s at least once by the weekend.

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An area of low pressure is forecast to slide through northern Manitoba over the weekend. This low will drag a cold front southward sometime late on Sunday or Monday morning. The front will trigger a few showers or thundershowers as it passes through, but this looks to be the only chance for rain during this period.

It doesn’t look like there’ll be much, if any, cold air to work in behind this system, which means temperatures won’t fall much. Combine this with a developing low pressure to our west, and the first half of next week should be high and dry, with temperatures running near the top end of the usual range for this time of the year. Looking beyond this period, the weather models point toward continued mild weather, with most of the precipitation tracking to our south.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, 8 to 22 C; lows, -3 to +7 C.

About the author

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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