Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models were predicting. We did see a little snow from the possible Colorado low, but the low mostly stayed to our south and did not get as strong as it could have. We also saw a return of cold arctic air by the end of the forecast period.
For those of you hoping for the spring melt to start, it looks like you will have to be patient for a little while longer. The overall pattern that we have seen over the last two months looks to continue for this forecast period, which means more below-average temperatures. Luckily, for those who are tired of the snow, it doesn’t look like we will see much of the white stuff.
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This forecast period begins with a predominantly north to northwesterly flow across Western Canada. This will help to bring reinforcing shots of cold arctic air southward. With the increase in the amount of daylight and the sun’s angle at this time of the year, this arctic air will be modified, which is a fancy way of saying it will warm up a bit. So, while it will be cold, we won’t be seeing the bone-chilling weather we saw in February. Between the shots of cold arctic air, weak clipper systems will track through from Alberta, bringing a few chances for light snow. Currently, it does not look like any of these systems will bring significant snow or really stormy weather.
The exact timing of these shots of cold air and clipper systems is really tough to predict, as each system impacts the next system. Overall, when arctic air is in place, we will see mainly clear skies along with temperatures running near the bottom end of the usual temperature range for this time of the year. Expect daytime highs in the -10 to -15 C range with overnight lows falling into the -20 to -25 C range. With the clipper systems we will see temperatures moderate a little bit ahead of each system, with daytime highs warming to around -5 C. There is a hint that we may see some above-freezing temperatures around the middle of the month, but, as I am fond of saying, that is still a long way off.
Usual temperature range for this period: highs, -11 to 0 C; lows, -23 to -8 C.
