Too early to check winter cereal survival

Manitoba wasn’t warm enough in the first half of April for winter wheat and fall rye to consistently grow

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Published: April 24, 2025

Manitoba’s winter wheat and fall rye growers don’t need to be in a rush yet to scout whether crops have survived the winter.

Winter cereals have been greening fields in Manitoba, but farmers should hold off judging crop survival for at least another week, according to Manitoba Agriculture.

In a Manitoba Agriculture Crop Talk webinar April 23, provincial cereals specialist Anne Kirk warned farmers away from being too hasty when weighing spring stands. Temperatures in the first half of the month were not consistantly warm enough for new growth, attendees heard.

Why it matters: Manitoba saw about 37,000 acres of winter wheat and approximately 85,000 acres of fall rye seeded last fall, by provincial staff estimates.

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“It is fairly early to just visually assess a field from above and … to assess the winterkill, or if there’s any winter injury issues with winter wheat or fall rye crop,” Kirk said.

But sometimes the crop can look green without thriving. Other stands might be slow to get going, but still be alive and well.

“We definitely see fall rye crops looking a lot better than winter wheat at this time of year,” Kirk noted.

Growers should wait for the crop to break dormancy and develop new roots before assessing survival. That requires temperatures consistently above freezing. Ten days of temperatures above zero are needed for active growth, Kirk said.

“At this time of year, you should be able to see some new white roots coming from the crown of the winter wheat or fall rye,” Kirk said.

Curious producers can dig up some plants, put them in pots or into a pail, water them and bring them inside into the warmth. With this method, new growth can be assessed within a week, Kirk said.

“If there is no new growth and the roots aren’t growing, then the plant hasn’t survived.”

Producers can also dig up plants, rinse them off and then clip them to about an inch above the crown. After that, they should be placed in a plastic bag in a warm place indoors. New growth should appear fairly quickly, confirming that the crown is alive, Kirk said.

Recipe to survive winter

Stubble height, seeding date, seeding depth and adequate fertilization all play into overwinter survival rates. Splitting nitrogen between seeding at fall and spring regrowth helps increase the plant’s odds, Kirk noted.

“In the fall, we can have excessive top growth, which could reduce winter hardiness,” she said.

At the same time, if all the nitrogen is applied in spring, the farmer ends up at the mercy of the weather. “If we do have a dry spring, it’s difficult … for nitrogen to actually reach the plants. Or if it’s quite wet, it could be applied later than ideal.”

Conventional wisdom has a good winter cereal stand at 20 to 25 plants per square foot come spring, but previous research has also shown that density as low as seven to eight plants per square foot can still yield 80 per cent of a normal stand, Kirk said.

If the farmer does opt for replanting, they should avoid another cereal crop, “especially wheat, if you do have a risk of wheat streak mosaic,” she said. “You typically want to have two weeks with no living green material to try to mitigate the risk.”

Current cooler overnight temperatures aren’t cause for undue concern, Kirk said. Standing water, however, can be risky.

About the author

Miranda Leybourne

Miranda Leybourne

Reporter

Miranda Leybourne is a Glacier FarmMedia reporter based in Neepawa, Manitoba with eight years of journalism experience, specializing in agricultural reporting. Born in northern Ontario and raised in northern Manitoba, she brings a deep, personal understanding of rural life to her storytelling.

A graduate of Assiniboine College’s media production program, Miranda began her journalism career in 2007 as the agriculture reporter at 730 CKDM in Dauphin. After taking time off to raise her two children, she returned to the newsroom once they were in full-time elementary school. From June 2022 to May 2024, she covered the ag sector for the Brandon Sun before joining Glacier FarmMedia. Miranda has a strong interest in organic and regenerative agriculture and is passionate about reporting on sustainable farming practices. You can reach Miranda at [email protected].

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