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Forecast – for Oct. 7, 2010

It’s looking more and more like October 2010 is going to turn out to be a fairly nice month. If you remember back to last week’s forecast, we were not that confident in the last part of the forecast, which had the current ridge of high pressure breaking down and cool weather moving back in. Well, it looks like we were right not to be confident in that forecast, as the ridge of high pressure that brought sunny and warm conditions to our region over the weekend, and for the start of this week, looks like it will stick around for a little while longer.

Current weather models have the upper-level ridge staying put over our region right through the Thanksgiving Day long weekend. This should mean we will have plenty of sunshine along with daytime high temperatures at or even warmer than the usual temperature range for this time of the year.

The models do show an area of low pressure pushing through northern regions of Manitoba during the day on Monday. This may bring some clouds, along with a slight chance of showers, to southern regions during the afternoon on Monday, with a better chance of more widespread showers or rain over extreme northern regions.

Conditions are expected to cool down at the beginning of next week, as our flow becomes more northerly. While conditions are expected to be cooler, there are no signs of a strong outbreak of cold air or any significant storm systems, which means our nice October weather should continue.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs:6 to 17 C. Lows:-3 to 6 C.

Chance of precipitation falling as snow: 15 per cent.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.



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