Fertilizer emissions view split on party lines: survey

Farmers generally pessimistic, distrustful of government’s emissions target

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Published: September 23, 2022

“I was personally interested to quantify the concerns I had seen anecdotally in the farm press and elsewhere.” – Greg Dunlop, iFusion.

Farmers who vote Liberal or NDP are far more likely to think the federal fertilizer emissions reduction target is feasible than farmers who vote Conservative, a recent survey indicates.

That meant the majority of survey respondents were pessimistic about the government’s goals, as 77 per cent said they’d vote Conservative.

In an Aug. 29 survey, research firm iFusion quantified farmers’ feelings on the federal goal to reduce emissions from fertilizer by 30 per cent by 2030.

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About 550 farmers from the Prairie provinces completed the phone survey.

No organization commissioned the survey, iFusion president Greg Dunlop told the Co-operator in an email.

“I was personally interested to quantify the concerns I had seen anecdotally in the farm press and elsewhere,” Dunlop said.

The firm used the data to inform a submission to the federal government on the emissions matter.

Of all farmers surveyed, 83 per cent said they disagreed with the federal government’s goal.

More than 90 per cent of farmers who said they voted Conservative also said they somewhat or strongly disagreed with the target. Among Liberal and NDP voters (this category was combined), nearly 70 per cent either somewhat or strongly agreed.

There was no significant difference in opinion between provinces.

More than half of all farmers surveyed believe that fertilizer emission estimates ignore actual farm practices, while nearly a third did not know.

Current emissions estimates, taken from Canada’s National Inventory Report (NIR) take variation in climate and topography into account, along with fertilizer sales data. Efforts to incorporate management practices into the algorithm are under way but will take years, University of Manitoba researcher Mario Tenuta told the Co-operator.

Farmers surveyed were told about 4R nutrient stewardship — a framework of best management practices for efficient fertilizer use.

[PODCAST CLIP] University of Manitoba researcher Mario Tenuta on the cost benefits of nitrogen efficiency for farmers.
To hear the full ‘Between the Rows’ podcast episode, click here.

They were then asked if federal targets could be met with 4Rs were taken into account. Fifty-seven per cent still said the goal was not achievable, but the number of respondents who said the goal was achievable or very achievable rose to 26 per cent from 10 per cent.

Half of the farmers surveyed said they were familiar with the 4R nutrient stewardship program.

Most farmers did not trust the federal government to keep its emissions target voluntary. Over 70 per cent said the government would force mandates such as caps on fertilizer use if sufficient progress wasn’t made in the next three years.

About 20 per cent said they were not sure, and six per cent said it would remain voluntary.

About the author

Geralyn Wichers

Geralyn Wichers

Digital editor, news and national affairs

Geralyn graduated from Red River College's Creative Communications program in 2019 and launched directly into agricultural journalism with the Manitoba Co-operator. Her enterprising, colourful reporting has earned awards such as the Dick Beamish award for current affairs feature writing and a Canadian Online Publishing Award, and in 2023 she represented Canada in the International Federation of Agricultural Journalists' Alltech Young Leaders Program. Geralyn is a co-host of the Armchair Anabaptist podcast, cat lover, and thrift store connoisseur.

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