Summing up the grain markets: June 2025 was an interesting month for canola prices and geopolitics stole the spotlight from grain market specifics
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Watching patterns of grain pricing
Economics, investor sentiment and trader psychology are all popular buzzwords that try to explain human nature, but they are nothing new. They have been around as long as humans, markets and trade have been around. They are all just another way of trying to figure out what the heck is going on. The study of[...]
Grain prices still hang on exports
Canada is a country whose main exports are hockey players and cold fronts,” according to a quote attributed to former Prime Minister Pierre Elliot Trudeau who jokingly added “our main imports are baseball players and acid rain.” Looking at the current Winnipeg Jets lineup at least, it’s safe to say the trade balance on hockey[...]
Canola prices higher in rangebound movement
There isn’t much to be overly concerned about now regarding canola futures on the intercontinental exchange. Despite declines, the Canadian oilseed remained a fair bit higher than a week ago. This is pleasant news, given how canola has tumbled downward in recent months. In short, canola can be seen as rangebound. There is a deficit[...]
Wheat prices stuck in sideways pattern
North American wheat markets have been treading water for the past few months, with prices struggling to show much life. Minneapolis spring wheat, the most closely related futures contract to the Prairie cash market, has held in a sideways range just above contract lows for the better part of two months, with no indication that[...]
Grain markets slowly eroding
Prices may keep rising at the grocery store, but the general trend in all of the major grains and oilseeds continues to grind lower, with mid-January wheat bids hitting some of their weakest levels of the past few years. World supplies: Wheat is grown around the world, and supplies are more than sufficient to meet[...]
Grain trade expects lower canola yields
Harvest operations are in their early stages across Western Canada, leaving the canola market in a somewhat precarious position awaiting news and biding time until there’s a clearer picture on the size of this year’s crop. The November contract held in a rather narrow $30 per tonne range in early August, between $770 and $800,[...]
Grain, oilseed markets trending lower
The major North American grain and oilseed markets continued to trend lower in mid-February, with canola, soybeans, corn and wheat contracts all setting new contract lows as the futures work to uncover demand. Burdensome supply/demand fundamentals, coupled with heavily short speculators and farmer selling on any attempts at moving higher, give little reason to expect[...]
Crop plans, grain markets countdown to spring
March comes in like a lion and goes out like a lamb, according to the old saying that alludes to the idea that storms early in the month are often followed by milder spring weather as the calendar turns to April. Much of Western Canada welcomed snow in early March and the moisture eased some[...]
Canadian agricultural exports at record pace so far this year
Canadian agricultural exports are moving at a record pace in 2025. According to the Canadian Grain Commission, weekly exports to June 1 are up by 7.5 million tonnes from last year. The largest rise was in canola.
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