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Forecast – for Apr. 28, 2011

For those of you hoping summer-like weather is ready to move in, I’m afraid you’re going to be a little disappointed in this forecast. After a nice start to the week and the promise of nice weather to come, it looks like our old pattern of cool and unsettled weather will move back in by the weekend.

The weather models have been fairly consistent with developing a large and strong area of low pressure to our west by late in the week. What they have been struggling with is exactly where and how fast or slow this system will be. The latest model runs have the system taking a more northerly route. If this does pan out, western regions should see clouds and showers or rain move in late on Friday, with the remainder of southern Manitoba seeing showers or rain on Saturday. More northern regions will see precipitation starting off as rain late on Friday and then see a transition to wet snow on Saturday.

By Sunday things could become interesting. While confidence is not that high with this system, there is a chance that all regions could see some snow on Sunday as cold air gets pulled in behind the departing low. This cold air looks like it will stick around to start the following week. Temperatures look to be on the cool side, with highs struggling to make it into the low teens.

Looking further ahead, there are still no strong signs of a significant shift on our current weather pattern, so it looks like our cool weather will continue for some time yet.

Highs:7 to 21 C. Lows:-4 to +7 C.

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