Canadian Prairies, U.S. Midwest to get colder in January as South America becomes hotter, drier

Some warmer temps for Prairies during week of Jan. 6

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Published: January 6, 2025

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Snowpack concerns on the Prairies has been leading many growers to wonder what could happen come spring. Photo: Thinkstock

Glacier Farm Media | MarketsFarm – Meteorologist Drew Lerner said he expects colder than normal temperatures across the Canadian Prairies and much of the United States Midwest in January, while a good portion of South America is to be hotter than normal.

Lerner, the president of World Weather Inc. in Overland Park, Kan., also expects above-normal precipitation for the Prairies for the balance of this month. But he cautioned, “At this time of the year normal precipitation isn’t that great.”

He noted for the week of Jan. 6 there’s to be a short spate of warmer temperatures on the Prairies before they drop lower by the weekend as another cold system moves in.

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Photo: Geralyn Wichers

Prairie forecast: Seasonably cool with chances of precipitation

This forecast period starts with a broad, cool area of high pressure stretching across the Prairie provinces. The cool air combined with strong mid-summer sunshine is leading to partly cloudy skies along with the odd shower or thundershower.

As for the U.S. Midwest, Lerner said there are likely to be colder than normal temperatures, especially for the region’s lower half and for the southern parts of the country.

“There will be a tendency for above normal precipitation to occur from the central Gulf Coast into the middle and north Atlantic coast, catching part of the lower and eastern Midwest,” he added.

“The farther northwest you go into the Midwest and Plains, the lighter the precipitation,” he continued.

For Lerner’s outlook for South America, he projected drier conditions for a large area encompassing central and eastern parts of Argentina, nearly all of Uruguay, southwestern Paraguay, and the western and southern parts of the Brazilian state of Rio Grande do Sul. He said there’s a chance of rain for this area later in January, but large amounts are unlikely.

Meanwhile, he noted the concerns of other forecasters in regard to the rest of Brazil – that it’s to be wet for most of this month which could become a delicate situation for soybean and corn crops.

“The concern there is over the maturation and harvest of early season soybeans. If those are late coming out, then safrinha corn will be late going in and then there’s the potential of not enough moisture in the soil once the rainy season ends to support the safrinha crop during reproduction.

“That’s a big reach and I’m really not endorsing that at the moment. But the wet bias that is going to be playing out over these next couple of weeks in Brazil will be a marking concern because of that potential,” Lerner commented.

About the author

Glen Hallick - MarketsFarm

Glen Hallick - MarketsFarm

Reporter

Glen Hallick grew up in rural Manitoba near Starbuck, where his family farmed. Glen has a degree in political studies from the University of Manitoba and studied creative communications at Red River College. Before joining Glacier FarmMedia, Glen was an award-winning reporter and editor with several community newspapers and group editor for the Interlake Publishing Group. Glen is an avid history buff and enjoys following politics.

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