U.S. livestock: Fallen cash, pork prices sink CME hogs

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Published: March 28, 2017

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(Regis Lefebure photo courtesy ARS/USDA)

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago Mercantile Exchange lean hogs on Tuesday slumped to their lowest level in two months, as cash and wholesale pork values dropped on abundant supplies, said traders.

They said sell stops and fund liquidation accelerated market declines.

April hogs ended 0.55 cent/lb. lower at 65.1 cents, and below the 200-day moving average of 65.543 cents. May finished 0.925 cents lower at 69.4 cents.

Futures’ retreat may suggest slowing U.S. pork exports and possibly too many hogs for this period, said Rosenthal Collins broker James Burns.

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Tuesday morning’s average price for slaughter-ready, or cash, hogs in Iowa/Minnesota was $65.02/cwt in light volume, down $1.79 from Monday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said.

USDA data released early Tuesday showed the average wholesale pork price fell $1.18/cwt from Monday to $77.94, primarily due to $6.42 lower pork belly prices.

Investors await Thursday’s U.S. government quarterly hog report that analysts expect to show continued herd expansion.

Most cattle futures gain

CME live cattle contracts settled mostly firmer after investors sold April futures and simultaneously bought deferred months in a trading strategy known as bear spreading.

This week’s cash price uncertainty deterred April futures buyers.

April live cattle closed down 0.3 cent/lb. at 120.775 cents. June ended up 0.15 cent at 111.6 cents and August 0.35 cent rose to 107.125 cents.

Market bulls said cash prices were supported by Tuesday’s firmer wholesale beef prices, tight supplies in parts of the U.S. Plains and fewer cattle for sale than last week.

Contrarians point to current futures prices, slipping packer profits and substantial numbers of cattle available that are contracted against the futures market.

Traders will take their cue from Wednesday morning’s Fed Cattle Exchange sale of about 3,900 animals. Last week cattle there on average sold for $133.35/cwt.

A week ago most slaughter-ready, or cash, cattle in the U.S. Plains traded from $130 to $134.50/cwt.

Tuesday morning’s average wholesale beef price was up 29 cents/cwt from Monday at $220.20. Select rose 80 cents to $214.42, USDA said.

CME feeder cattle mirrored mostly firmer live cattle contracts.

March feeder cattle, which will expire on Thursday, ended up 0.2 cent/lb. to 132.35 cents. Most actively traded April was down 0.15 cent at 132.95 cents. May ended 0.275 cent higher at 131.6 cents.

— Theopolis Waters reports on livestock markets for Reuters from Chicago.

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