The storm forecast at the start of this week materialized and brought more heavy snow to pretty much all of southern and central Manitoba. Behind this system, cold, quiet weather has moved in, allowing winter to stick around a little longer. Just how long is what we’ll try to figure out in this forecast.
By Wednesday the weather models show a large area of low pressure moving in off of the Pacific. This low will try to push east during the second half of this week, but it looks like it will lose most of its energy as it pushes into the broad ridge of high pressure over our region. Temperatures will start off fairly cold on Wednesday and Thursday, with highs probably only making it to around -12 C. As the western low weakens and slowly moves in we should see temperatures slowly warm up over the weekend, with highs by Sunday expected to be around -4 C. Along with the warmer temperatures we’ll likely see a mix of sun and clouds with maybe the odd flurry.
Next week looks to be fairly quiet, with a somewhat disorganized weather pattern across the region. Temperatures will continue to be on the cool side with highs remaining below zero for the most part. The models show a building ridge of high pressure developing to our west around the middle of next week. This ridge is then forecast to drift eastward during the second half of the week, bringing warmer temperatures. If this pans out, we could see the first significant melting conditions beginning around next Thursday.
Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, -7 to 6 C; lows, -19 to -2 C.