Well-below-average temperatures to continue

This is probably one of the toughest forecasts I have had to write in a long time. First of all, it’s tough because the weather is not looking that great over the next seven to 10 days; secondly, because the weather models have been all over the place with each model run!

This forecast period starts off on the cold side and looks like it will end on the cool side. Cold arctic high pressure will be firmly in place across all of southern and central Manitoba this week, keeping any precipitation well to our south. We’ll start off pretty darned cold, with highs struggling to make it to the freezing mark. Under the strong spring sunshine each day will get a little warmer, with highs finally making it above 0 C on Thursday or Friday. Overnight lows will continue to be quite cold.

Over the weekend an area of low pressure is forecast to come in from the Pacific over northern B.C. This low is then expected to move southeastward and cross central Manitoba on Sunday and Monday. Central regions will likely see some light snow with this system while southern regions should see a mixed bag of light snow, showers and maybe even some freezing rain.

Clouds and the odd shower or flurry look to linger into next Tuesday as this low slowly moves off to the East. There does not appear to be any strong push of cold air behind this system, but don’t expect any big warm-ups either. Highs are expected to be around +5 C for much of next week, with a +10 C reading possible by next weekend. With all the snow around I think we might have to wait a little longer for those spring-like temperatures.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, 2 to 16 C; lows, -8 to 2 C. Probability of precipitation falling as snow: 50 per cent.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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