Warmer weather on the horizon?

If you’re hoping for a warm spring-like forecast, then you better stop reading right here.

The area of low pressure that looked to bring some stormy weather around Wednesday of this week came in off the Pacific as predicted, but took a much more northerly route. This prevented the system from tapping into a lot of moisture, but central and northern regions will still see some measurable snow as it moves through. Southern regions, depending on the timing of the system, may only see a few showers or flurries as warm air moves in ahead of the system.

Cool arctic high pressure will try to build in behind this system on Thursday and Friday, dropping daytime highs back down to around the freezing mark. Over the weekend, weather models have been fairly consistent at bringing a large area of low pressure in from the Pacific. How they handle this storm system once it pushes in is another story. Currently, some of the energy from this system is forecast to move across the southern Prairies over the weekend, bringing clouds and a few flurries. Cool arctic high pressure will sit just to our north, and the models show this high pressure reasserting itself late on Sunday and into Monday.

In the meantime, a strong area of low pressure will develop from the energy left over from the Pacific low. This system will develop over the western U.S. and then push off to the east-northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday. It currently looks like all the energy from this system will remain well to our south, leaving us with clear skies and cool conditions.

Once this system moves by, the second half of next week looks to see some melting temperatures finally move in. The models have been fairly consistent with this warm-up, showing temperatures in the +5 to +8 C range by next Thursday or Friday.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, -1 to 11 C; lows, -12 to 1 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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