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Plenty of chances for snow

It looks as though this forecast period will be another tough one to figure out. The weather models have been fairly consistent with the general pattern, but are all over the place with the placement of the different systems. So once again, confidence in this forecast is not very high.

Temperatures should slowly warm during the first part of this forecast period as a large area of low pressure slowly moves in from the Pacific. This will allow the winds to become more westerly, pulling in a little warmer air.

On Thursday and Friday we’ll see some of the energy from this system split off, bringing some light snow to southern and central regions of Manitoba. It looks as though we’ll see a break in the light snow on Saturday before a second piece of energy splits off the main low and pushes through our region on Sunday.

By early next week the main area of low pressure is expected to begin tracking eastward. Here is where the weather models have been really struggling. Sometimes they have the low tracking to our south, while other times the models show this low taking a more northerly route. Currently, the models show the main area of low pressure tracking to our south, which should result in more light snow next Tuesday and Wednesday.

Once this low moves by, it doesn’t look as though we’ll see much in the way of cold air moving in. The cold air will remain bottled up north as a second large area of low pressure moves in off the Pacific. This low is expected to move from southern B.C. into central Manitoba late next week. We could see some more snow late in the week as this low moves through.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, -14 to 0 C; lows, -24 to -8 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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