Western Canadian producers hoping to get some sort of reprieve from the continuous precipitation will not be happy with the short-to medium-term forecasts.
“I’m afraid the weather pattern that has dominated much of the Canadian Prairies this spring and early summer is going to stay pretty similar to what it has been,” Drew Lerner with World Weather Inc., of Kansas City, Kansas, said. That means short periods of dryness, followed by significant precipitation.
Lerner said the temperatures may cool a bit over the next couple of weeks and then possibly readings will begin to warm up.
“There will also be a minor decline in the amount of precipitation, which is probably the best thing I can tell a producer now, but that will only last for a little while,” Lerner said. He said the one good thing in the forecast is that it will not rain as frequently or as significantly as it has in the past. “We may actually have a week or two of below-average precipitation, but as warmer readings begin to hit the Canadian Prairies later in July, that will set the stage for some additional rainfall,” he said.
Lerner said the rain that will fall shouldn’t fill all the trenches that have been dug in order to drain the fields. “It won’t be a bad situation, but it also will not be ideal growing weather either,” Lerner said.
Lerner acknowledged that the heavy rainfall received in the Yorkton and Saskatoon areas of Saskatchewan over the past couple of days didn’t do any water-soaked fields any favours. Officially, there were indications that some of that area received about two to 3.5 inches of rain, he said. Unofficial reports from producers indicated the precipitation was closer to four to five inches.
The heavy thunderstorm activity that brought the heavy moisture to those areas was a hit-and-miss situation, Lerner said, noting that the storm systems that moved across the region were certainly an aggravation to producers.
On the flip side of the coin, however, was the Peace River region of northern Alberta, where the storm systems seem to have forgotten and dryness issues remain.
“It certainly has not rained in the Peace River area as it has in other parts of the Canadian Prairies,” Lerner said. “The precipitation that has been received in that area has also not been that significant.”