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No more upper lows – but still unsettled

Covering: July 2 – July 9, 2014

By the time this forecast period rolls around it looks like we’ll finally be finished with upper lows. I can’t promise this will be the last one we’ll see, but the current weather models aren’t showing any more, at least out to the middle of July.

This doesn’t mean we won’t see more rain. This is unfortunate, as for some of us a little more rain is no big deal, while for others, one more medium-to-big rainfall might just be the end to what could have been a good growing season.

The models show high pressure building in from the north. This should help to keep any precipitation to our south for most of the week. A northern high, along with midsummer sunshine, will lead to high temperatures in the low to mid-20s, which is right around average for this time of the year.

As this high slides off to the east later this week, we’ll see winds switch to the south. This should help boost temperatures into the upper 20s by Thursday or Friday. Along with the warmer temperatures, we’ll see increasing humidity as moisture streams north. Combining warm air and moisture spells thunderstorms for the weekend.

The first part of next week looks to be a little unsettled as an area of low pressure slides by to our north. Southern and central regions should stay on the warm side of the low with highs — if we see some sunshine — in the upper 20s, but there will be the chance for thundershowers pretty much every day. Looking further ahead, the models keep trying to bring in really hot weather, but they have been trying to do this for several weeks now and we’re still waiting…

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, 20 to 29 C; lows: 6 to 15 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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