The main weather story for this forecast period will be the chance for our first real shot of snow this weekend. Weather for the middle part of this week looks to be rather quiet, as a large region of high pressure sits to our south and low pressure spins off the West Coast. Without any major weather systems around, we should see more sun than clouds, and temperatures will continue to be fairly mild for this time of year.
Over the weekend we ll have to watch an area of low pressure that is forecast to develop to our southwest and then push out to the northeast. The models are jumping around with this system on timing, track and intensity, but it is definitely one to watch. Currently, it looks like most of the precipitation will stay to our south, with the southeastern corner of Manitoba seeing the best chance of significant snow or rain. If this system takes a more westerly/northerly route, then central regions could see some snow. For the most part, it looks like western areas will miss out on this system but with these systems, you just never know. As for timing, the models bring the system into our region late on Saturday and into Sunday, but again, this could change by a day or so in either direction.
Once this system moves out, it doesn t look like we ll see a big cool-down, even if we do get snow. The start of next week will be on the cool side, with highs struggling to make it to the freezing mark. The weather models then point toward high pressure building to our south and low pressure building to our west, which will result in a return to mild conditions, with highs by the middle of next week making it back into the mid-single digits.
Usual temperature range for this period:Highs, -2 to 10 C. Lows, -10 to 0 C.
Probability of precipitation falling as snow:65 per cent.
Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park. Contact him with your questions and comments at [email protected]