Mild, dry weather to continue to month’s end

It looks like we’ll be back into a mild weather pattern for the next couple of weeks. It also looks like we’ll be remaining on the dry side, with no large storm systems showing up on any of the medium- to long-range weather models. It’s a little too soon to start worrying, but after the dry summer, fall and first half of winter, if we don’t see some good snows in the next couple of months, we could be headed toward a very dry start to the planting season.

The weather models show a large area of low pressure off the coast of Alaska slowly moving inland and then travelling across northern Canada during this week. This will help keep most of the really cold arctic air bottled up well to our north. While this is happening, a ridge of high pressure is forecast to slowly build and move in from the central Pacific and take up residence over the western U.S. This will help to create a fairly mild westerly flow across our region, which means we should see temperatures, for the most part, near the top end of the usual temperature range for this time of the year.

Over the weekend the northerly low will begin to intensify over northeastern Canada. This could result in a back-door cold front coming in from the northeast late in the weekend or early next week. If this does happen, we’ll see a couple of days with cooler conditions before the low weakens and the western ridge of high pressure re-establishes itself.

All in all, it looks like our weather will continue to be dry and fairly mild for at least this forecast period and possibly well into February.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, -22 to -6 C; lows, -33 to -16 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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