Issued: Monday, October 20, 2008 Covering: October 22 –October 29

The weather page is prepared by Daniel Bezte. Dan has a BA Honours degree in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He has taught climate and weather classes at the U of W, and is a guest climate expert on CJOB’s morning show with Larry Updike. Daniel runs a computerized weather station on his 10 acres near Birds Hill Park, which he plans to develop into a small vegetable and fruit hobby farm.

Daniel welcomes questions and comments at [email protected]

It looks like we are in for some fairly typical late-October weather over the next week and a half. We have to remember we are slowly moving into winter, so as each day passes we should be getting a little bit colder. When we talk about it being mild at the end of October, it’s not the same as “mild” at the beginning of the month.

With that said, the first thing we will have to watch is an area of low pressure forecast to pass to our south during the middle of the week. Currently most of the energy from this low looks as if it will stay to our south, but we will probably see some showers on Wednesday. With the cloud cover and the northerly flow behind, the low temperatures will be on the cool side, with highs only making it into the mid-single digits.

By Friday and Saturday we should see temperatures warm back up toward 10C for highs, as a strong area of low pressure is forecast to track across the northern Prairies. This low should stay well to our north, keeping most of agricultural Manitoba under plenty of late fall sunshine. This sunshine, combined with southerly winds, should help to keep temperatures fairly mild. Late on Saturday, or during the day on Sunday, we will likely see the cold front associated with the northern low push through.

This cold front will set the stage for some cool weather to start next week, with highs struggling to make in into the low single digits for highs. Looking ahead toward Halloween, the models are showing an area of low pressure developing off the West Coast by the middle of next week. This should help to develop a southerly flow across our region, which should keep temperatures on the mild side.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs: 2 to 14C. Lows: -8 to 2C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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