Well, believe it or not, spring will come, but it now looks as if it will move in slowly rather than bursting forth. The overall weather pattern over North America looks like it will remain fairly active over the next couple of weeks, as a long-wave trough of low pressure dominates.
Fortunately for us, it looks like the main storm track will be to our south, which will help to keep us a little drier but will also keep most of the really warm air trapped to our south.
The first major storm system will be working its way through North and South Dakota during the middle of this week and it looks like the extreme southeastern part of Manitoba could see some snow from this system. Once this system has passed by, we will continue to see a general northwesterly flow, which will keep temperatures from making it much above 0C for highs.
A second storm system will push by to our south over the weekend, but this system should be far enough away that it will not affect us. Farther north, an area of low pressure will be moving across the Arctic and this should help to swing our winds around to the south or southwest. This will help to warm us up a little bit, but the southern storm will prevent any big pushes of warm air.
For the first half of next week it looks like we will be between systems, with low pressure to our north and a new developing area of low pressure to our southwest. Temperatures will continue to moderate and if we can get enough sunshine, highs should be in the +5 to +8C range, with lows only dropping a few degrees below 0C.
Usual temperature range for this period: Highs: -3 to +10C. Lows: -14 to 0C.
Probability of precipitation falling as rain: 30 per cent.