Another tough forecast this week, as the overall pattern remains fairly active. It is looking like summer is winning out over winter, as warm air continues to try and push northward. The big question is whether this warm air will interact with cold air to our north and develop a big storm system.
The main storm track for the first half of this forecast period has most systems tracking by just to our south. This should keep most of the precipitation associated with these systems to our south, but we may see some rain push across the border depending on the exact track of these systems. The first system will push by late on Wednesday and this will be followed by a second system on Friday. Eastern regions have the best chance of seeing rain with this second system.
The models then show fairly quiet weather over the Easter weekend, with a mix of sun and clouds along with high temperatures in the low to mid-teens. Attention then turns to early next week, where the models are trying to develop a strong storm system that looks to make a beeline straight for Manitoba.
Confidence in this storm system is not very high as the models have been trying to bring a strong storm system into our region for the last couple of weeks. So far, they keep missing us. So I guess the question is whether we will continue to be lucky or will we finally get hit by a big one.
Usual temperature range for this period: Highs: -1 to 11 C. Lows: -13 to 0 C.
Probability of precipitation falling as snow: 55 per cent.