The active weather pattern of late has meant that several storm systems have developed over the southwestern part of North America and then travelled to the northeast. The net result of all of this has been that we have been stuck in a cool/cold north-to-northeasterly flow, which has kept our temperatures well below average.
It looks like the main storm track will remain to our south with a weaker storm track to our north for much of this forecast period. That means we are stuck in the middle of a split flow. If we were snow free this would mean a period of nice quiet weather with mild temperatures. While we will see some nice quiet weather, with all the snow around it is going to take awhile for us to see the mild temperatures.
We should see a couple of degrees of warming each day this week but cold air will be trying to back-door its way in late on Wednesday and Thursday. Hopefully this cold air will remain to our northeast but central and northern parts of agricultural Manitoba look like they will stay on the cool side. By Friday we should really start to feel a warm-up as the general flow of the atmosphere becomes more westerly to southwesterly.
Weak low pressure looks like it might try and move through our region on Sunday but in a split flow pattern like this, it is fairly unlikely that we will see anything more than some cloudy periods. High pressure then looks to move back in for the start of next week, with high temperatures expected to be in the +10C to +14C range.
Usual temperature range for this period: Highs: +1 to +14C. Lows: -9 to +2C.